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In the long run, we may indeed be dead, but hopefully our heirs will still be alive.

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Consolidating 401(k)s in retirement

"In the context of lawsuits, just that; it's federal law so applies in every state and it has no dollar limit on the protection afforded. Also, since the only "condition" is that it has to be a "qualified" 401K, there's no "conditions" that can be contested in front of a judge. However, for money rolled into an IRA, the burden shifts to the defendent to "prove" it's still protected (ie. it hasn't been co-mingled with unprotected money). That provides multiple opportunities for the individual to lose that protection."
- OldITGuy
Read more »

The impossibility of defining needs. 

"I think it is a mistake to take a newspaper article as a commentary on a generation and its thinking. I always remind myself that they are looking to sell newspapers. The world has changed, and these kids grew up in an entirely different world than most of us did. Back in the day, there wasn't the internet, kids weren't told the only way to succeed was by going to college like they are today, people didn't have access to endless supplies of credit, or exposure to the onslaught of social media and the rampant growth of advertisers telling everyone how to live the "best life" from the time they were born. As a society, we have also grown and learned that caring for your whole being(mental, social, and emotional well-being) is also an important factor in one's happiness and having a well-lived life. I believe we are all better for it. Of course, they may have some different priorities and expectations. It is a vastly different world. Just as it was a different world for us than our parents' generation, might our grandparents have thought it extravagant for everyone to have refrigerators, radios, electricity, and air conditioning? I also have to say that we all know people who, even back in the day, lived for the moment and spent recklessly, or didn't save. I have four kids in this younger generation (ages 26-32). My son and his wife have a home that they purchased with less than 20%. It is a modest 3-bed 1-bath, that requires work, and they are slowly working on it. They also grow their own food, cook at home, and don't go on vacations in an effort to pay off their wife's student loans asap. My youngest son lives in a modest apartment, works a full-time job, and has a side hustle to work toward saving that 20%+ down for a home. My other children have both made investments in furthering their education and their careers, while also saving for retirement and putting aside a little for a future home purchase. For them, travel and following their passions (skiing, mountain biking) are important to them at this time in their lives, so that is how they spend a good portion of their disposable money and time. Guess what, I feel like all my kids are doing the right thing for themselves at this time. Yes, my kids bemoan ( and I agree with them) the outrageous costs of buying a home or going to college. Yes, they believe that a smartphone is not a luxury to them, but a necessity. Yes, I do find myself sometimes looking at them and their view of the world and how it operates and shake my head, but they are living in a world that isn't remotely the same as the one that you or I grew up in, so it makes sense for them to have a different view and methodology for both living and succeeding in it. I guess my point is that life experiences differ, people's priorities differ, but I believe the values that helped all of us to succeed still exist for this next generation and in some ways may even be better."
- Darlene Mandeville
Read more »

Grocery Shopping for the Mildly Obsessed

"😂😂😂 C’mon, we know the answer. And the stroll to the cart garage and back adds additional exercise. I also park in the outlying area of my grocery store lots. I alternate between two grocery stores: the one that’s a 10-minute drive and is never busy, plus is clean and provides a nice experience, and the other that is walking distance (I drive if it’s more than I can carry). This one is kind of dark and rundown, also rarely busy, but I feel it’s my duty through my patronage to keep the place open for the day when I may not be able to drive. I often see the same people at both places so I guess I’m not alone in this endeavor."
- Linda Grady
Read more »

Real vs. Imaginary Returns – Part I

"Fair point, David. I should probably have said it's a more tailored version of the three-bucket strategy."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Your two best investing books—and do you also keep an End-of-Life “family binder”?

"I created my own end of life planner. I handled all the business affairs in our household and my wife would have been lost without it. I do not feel our business affairs were all that complicated, but there is an incredible amount of detail that is still needed, and I would not be there to tell her about any of it."
- Jerry Pinkard
Read more »

What to do with a $500,000 inheritance ?

"Good for you 😁 Start flying first class!"
- William Housley
Read more »

Some creative thinking…

"If I can’t afford to give it, I don’t lend it. Actually having it returned is a bonus, and a good indicator of whether future “loans” are warranted."
- corrupt
Read more »

New Year’s Resolutions, Target Date Funds, and My New Friend Gemini

"And hopefully you're in the index version of Fidelity 2060, because many 401(k)s have the higher expense version."
- Randy Dobkin
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Actuarial Services’ Estimates of Proposals to Change the Social Security Program or the SSI Program

"We already had a cut in benefits with the reforms enacted in 1983 with the requirement to work two more years before receiving full retirement benefits. I believe this resulted in a effective 16% cut in benefits."
- David Lancaster
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The future of mail and how it affects finances

"I'd also be in favor of 4 or 5 day deliveries per week."
- Cheryl Low
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2026 Financial Plan

LOOKING TO UPDATE your financial plan for 2026? Below are ten strategies you might consider: Gaining control January is a good time to audit your investments. I’d start with this very basic step: If you have accounts at multiple brokerage firms, see if you can consolidate them. This won’t necessarily lead to better investment results, but if you have fewer accounts, it’ll be easier to monitor and to manage them. This might not seem like an important exercise, but in my experience, investors often find long-forgotten investments, overpriced funds or unintended cash balances when they conduct an investment clean-up like this.  View from the top The most common question investors asked in 2025 was some version of, “With the market so high, should we get more defensive?” To make this determination, I suggest looking at your portfolio through two lenses. First, total up the dollars you hold in relatively stable assets, including bonds and cash, then assess that relative to your cash needs over the next several years. That’s the first lens, and it’s what I might call the “calculator answer,” but it’s incomplete on its own. Of equal importance is to ask how you would feel if the stock market dropped. To answer this question, total up how much you hold in stocks and ask how it would affect you if you saw that number cut in half. While a 50% decline is a low likelihood at any given time, declines of that magnitude have occurred more than once, so it’s the rule of thumb I suggest. Looking forward The stock market in 2025 was a roller coaster. Early in the year, it dropped nearly 20%, but by year-end, it had gained nearly 20%. As we turn our attention to 2026, what should investors expect? On this question, Benjamin Graham offered this useful advice: “In the short run,” he wrote, “the market is a voting machine, but in the long run it is a weighing machine.” Anything could happen this year, in other words. But over longer time periods, it’s logical to expect the market to follow corporate profits higher. That’s Graham’s weighing machine. And that’s why, whatever the news of the day happens to be in 2026, we shouldn’t let short-term fluctuations shake our faith in the long term. Past and present Staying focused on the long term is sometimes easier said than done. That’s why I recommend this thought experiment: Imagine going back in time to January 2016. How many of the events we’ve experienced over the past decade—from the pandemic to wars to unexpected election results—could any of us have predicted? The reality is that it’s very difficult to know which way things will go. Even when a trend seems to point decisively in one direction, we should be careful to never bet too heavily on any particular outcome. As British economist Elroy Dimson has noted, “more things can happen than will happen.” For that reason, the ideal portfolio, in my view, is one that wouldn’t vary too much in response to short-term news. A tough task There’s a story about Benjamin Graham that tells us a lot about the wisdom of picking stocks. One day in 1926, Graham was reading through a company’s financial statements when he spotted what he thought might be an opportunity. To be sure, though, he had to take a train to Washington and sift through data available only at the office of the Interstate Commerce Commission. Graham confirmed it to be an almost no-lose situation, but it was one that other investors had overlooked because the information was so inaccessible. But today, that sort of information would be readily available online. That, in my view, makes stock-picking much more of an uphill battle than it was in Graham’s day, 100 years ago. The most recent data point: In 2025, nearly three-quarters of actively-managed funds trailed their benchmarks. Clear math In a 1991 essay titled “The Arithmetic of Active Management,” Stanford professor William Sharpe made this simple observation: “…it must be the case that (1) before costs, the return on the average actively managed dollar will equal the return on the average passively managed dollar and (2) after costs, the return on the average actively managed dollar will be less than the return on the average passively managed dollar [because actively-managed funds are usually more expensive].” Actively-managed funds are at a structural disadvantage, in other words. And according to a December analysis by Morningstar’s Jeff Ptak, this dynamic has only gotten stronger in recent years. “Fees appear to have gotten even more predictive,” he wrote. Worthwhile switch These days, a growing number of mutual funds are allowing shareholders to convert their holdings to equivalent ETF shares. If you have the opportunity to convert mutual fund shares you own, I recommend it, for two reasons. First, ETF fees are usually lower. Of more significance, ETFs are inherently more tax-efficient. While both mutual funds and ETFs are required to distribute income out pro rata to shareholders, ETFs usually incur fewer capital gains because they allow for “in kind” redemptions, which don’t require fund managers to liquidate holdings. Second best You may have read about new rules that’ll allow 401(k) accounts to invest in private funds. Are these a good idea? While every fund is different, author William Bernstein offers a perspective I find helpful: “The first people who invested in private equity got the filet mignon and the lobster tails, and the Vanguards and Fidelities of this world are going to wind up with tuna noodle casserole.” That isn’t a rule, but in my opinion, it may be more true than not. “Why” investments Some private funds convert to being publicly-traded. Are these a good idea? The Wall Street Journal’s Jason Zweig discussed this recently. These funds, he observed, “cast doubt on Wall Street’s narrative that investors can have their cake and eat it, too. You can have the mild price fluctuations of nontraded assets, or you can have access to your money whenever you want—but it’s turning out that you can’t have both.” Down the road, these funds might become reasonable investments, but they fit into an investment category I call “Why?” If you can earn reasonable returns with simpler, more proven types of funds, why take risk with something new and unproven? All sides A key challenge in investment decision-making is the fact that each of us tends to have our own way of looking at things. Some are more quantitative while others are more qualitative. Some are more aggressive while others are more cautious. And so on. That’s a problem because financial decisions usually require a blend of perspectives. That’s why I recommend a “five minds” approach to financial questions. Instead of coming at a question from only one direction, consider how an optimist, a pessimist, an analyst, an economist and a psychologist might look at that question. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.  
Read more »

Consolidating 401(k)s in retirement

"In the context of lawsuits, just that; it's federal law so applies in every state and it has no dollar limit on the protection afforded. Also, since the only "condition" is that it has to be a "qualified" 401K, there's no "conditions" that can be contested in front of a judge. However, for money rolled into an IRA, the burden shifts to the defendent to "prove" it's still protected (ie. it hasn't been co-mingled with unprotected money). That provides multiple opportunities for the individual to lose that protection."
- OldITGuy
Read more »

The impossibility of defining needs. 

"I think it is a mistake to take a newspaper article as a commentary on a generation and its thinking. I always remind myself that they are looking to sell newspapers. The world has changed, and these kids grew up in an entirely different world than most of us did. Back in the day, there wasn't the internet, kids weren't told the only way to succeed was by going to college like they are today, people didn't have access to endless supplies of credit, or exposure to the onslaught of social media and the rampant growth of advertisers telling everyone how to live the "best life" from the time they were born. As a society, we have also grown and learned that caring for your whole being(mental, social, and emotional well-being) is also an important factor in one's happiness and having a well-lived life. I believe we are all better for it. Of course, they may have some different priorities and expectations. It is a vastly different world. Just as it was a different world for us than our parents' generation, might our grandparents have thought it extravagant for everyone to have refrigerators, radios, electricity, and air conditioning? I also have to say that we all know people who, even back in the day, lived for the moment and spent recklessly, or didn't save. I have four kids in this younger generation (ages 26-32). My son and his wife have a home that they purchased with less than 20%. It is a modest 3-bed 1-bath, that requires work, and they are slowly working on it. They also grow their own food, cook at home, and don't go on vacations in an effort to pay off their wife's student loans asap. My youngest son lives in a modest apartment, works a full-time job, and has a side hustle to work toward saving that 20%+ down for a home. My other children have both made investments in furthering their education and their careers, while also saving for retirement and putting aside a little for a future home purchase. For them, travel and following their passions (skiing, mountain biking) are important to them at this time in their lives, so that is how they spend a good portion of their disposable money and time. Guess what, I feel like all my kids are doing the right thing for themselves at this time. Yes, my kids bemoan ( and I agree with them) the outrageous costs of buying a home or going to college. Yes, they believe that a smartphone is not a luxury to them, but a necessity. Yes, I do find myself sometimes looking at them and their view of the world and how it operates and shake my head, but they are living in a world that isn't remotely the same as the one that you or I grew up in, so it makes sense for them to have a different view and methodology for both living and succeeding in it. I guess my point is that life experiences differ, people's priorities differ, but I believe the values that helped all of us to succeed still exist for this next generation and in some ways may even be better."
- Darlene Mandeville
Read more »

Grocery Shopping for the Mildly Obsessed

"😂😂😂 C’mon, we know the answer. And the stroll to the cart garage and back adds additional exercise. I also park in the outlying area of my grocery store lots. I alternate between two grocery stores: the one that’s a 10-minute drive and is never busy, plus is clean and provides a nice experience, and the other that is walking distance (I drive if it’s more than I can carry). This one is kind of dark and rundown, also rarely busy, but I feel it’s my duty through my patronage to keep the place open for the day when I may not be able to drive. I often see the same people at both places so I guess I’m not alone in this endeavor."
- Linda Grady
Read more »

Real vs. Imaginary Returns – Part I

"Fair point, David. I should probably have said it's a more tailored version of the three-bucket strategy."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Your two best investing books—and do you also keep an End-of-Life “family binder”?

"I created my own end of life planner. I handled all the business affairs in our household and my wife would have been lost without it. I do not feel our business affairs were all that complicated, but there is an incredible amount of detail that is still needed, and I would not be there to tell her about any of it."
- Jerry Pinkard
Read more »

What to do with a $500,000 inheritance ?

"Good for you 😁 Start flying first class!"
- William Housley
Read more »

Some creative thinking…

"If I can’t afford to give it, I don’t lend it. Actually having it returned is a bonus, and a good indicator of whether future “loans” are warranted."
- corrupt
Read more »

2026 Financial Plan

LOOKING TO UPDATE your financial plan for 2026? Below are ten strategies you might consider: Gaining control January is a good time to audit your investments. I’d start with this very basic step: If you have accounts at multiple brokerage firms, see if you can consolidate them. This won’t necessarily lead to better investment results, but if you have fewer accounts, it’ll be easier to monitor and to manage them. This might not seem like an important exercise, but in my experience, investors often find long-forgotten investments, overpriced funds or unintended cash balances when they conduct an investment clean-up like this.  View from the top The most common question investors asked in 2025 was some version of, “With the market so high, should we get more defensive?” To make this determination, I suggest looking at your portfolio through two lenses. First, total up the dollars you hold in relatively stable assets, including bonds and cash, then assess that relative to your cash needs over the next several years. That’s the first lens, and it’s what I might call the “calculator answer,” but it’s incomplete on its own. Of equal importance is to ask how you would feel if the stock market dropped. To answer this question, total up how much you hold in stocks and ask how it would affect you if you saw that number cut in half. While a 50% decline is a low likelihood at any given time, declines of that magnitude have occurred more than once, so it’s the rule of thumb I suggest. Looking forward The stock market in 2025 was a roller coaster. Early in the year, it dropped nearly 20%, but by year-end, it had gained nearly 20%. As we turn our attention to 2026, what should investors expect? On this question, Benjamin Graham offered this useful advice: “In the short run,” he wrote, “the market is a voting machine, but in the long run it is a weighing machine.” Anything could happen this year, in other words. But over longer time periods, it’s logical to expect the market to follow corporate profits higher. That’s Graham’s weighing machine. And that’s why, whatever the news of the day happens to be in 2026, we shouldn’t let short-term fluctuations shake our faith in the long term. Past and present Staying focused on the long term is sometimes easier said than done. That’s why I recommend this thought experiment: Imagine going back in time to January 2016. How many of the events we’ve experienced over the past decade—from the pandemic to wars to unexpected election results—could any of us have predicted? The reality is that it’s very difficult to know which way things will go. Even when a trend seems to point decisively in one direction, we should be careful to never bet too heavily on any particular outcome. As British economist Elroy Dimson has noted, “more things can happen than will happen.” For that reason, the ideal portfolio, in my view, is one that wouldn’t vary too much in response to short-term news. A tough task There’s a story about Benjamin Graham that tells us a lot about the wisdom of picking stocks. One day in 1926, Graham was reading through a company’s financial statements when he spotted what he thought might be an opportunity. To be sure, though, he had to take a train to Washington and sift through data available only at the office of the Interstate Commerce Commission. Graham confirmed it to be an almost no-lose situation, but it was one that other investors had overlooked because the information was so inaccessible. But today, that sort of information would be readily available online. That, in my view, makes stock-picking much more of an uphill battle than it was in Graham’s day, 100 years ago. The most recent data point: In 2025, nearly three-quarters of actively-managed funds trailed their benchmarks. Clear math In a 1991 essay titled “The Arithmetic of Active Management,” Stanford professor William Sharpe made this simple observation: “…it must be the case that (1) before costs, the return on the average actively managed dollar will equal the return on the average passively managed dollar and (2) after costs, the return on the average actively managed dollar will be less than the return on the average passively managed dollar [because actively-managed funds are usually more expensive].” Actively-managed funds are at a structural disadvantage, in other words. And according to a December analysis by Morningstar’s Jeff Ptak, this dynamic has only gotten stronger in recent years. “Fees appear to have gotten even more predictive,” he wrote. Worthwhile switch These days, a growing number of mutual funds are allowing shareholders to convert their holdings to equivalent ETF shares. If you have the opportunity to convert mutual fund shares you own, I recommend it, for two reasons. First, ETF fees are usually lower. Of more significance, ETFs are inherently more tax-efficient. While both mutual funds and ETFs are required to distribute income out pro rata to shareholders, ETFs usually incur fewer capital gains because they allow for “in kind” redemptions, which don’t require fund managers to liquidate holdings. Second best You may have read about new rules that’ll allow 401(k) accounts to invest in private funds. Are these a good idea? While every fund is different, author William Bernstein offers a perspective I find helpful: “The first people who invested in private equity got the filet mignon and the lobster tails, and the Vanguards and Fidelities of this world are going to wind up with tuna noodle casserole.” That isn’t a rule, but in my opinion, it may be more true than not. “Why” investments Some private funds convert to being publicly-traded. Are these a good idea? The Wall Street Journal’s Jason Zweig discussed this recently. These funds, he observed, “cast doubt on Wall Street’s narrative that investors can have their cake and eat it, too. You can have the mild price fluctuations of nontraded assets, or you can have access to your money whenever you want—but it’s turning out that you can’t have both.” Down the road, these funds might become reasonable investments, but they fit into an investment category I call “Why?” If you can earn reasonable returns with simpler, more proven types of funds, why take risk with something new and unproven? All sides A key challenge in investment decision-making is the fact that each of us tends to have our own way of looking at things. Some are more quantitative while others are more qualitative. Some are more aggressive while others are more cautious. And so on. That’s a problem because financial decisions usually require a blend of perspectives. That’s why I recommend a “five minds” approach to financial questions. Instead of coming at a question from only one direction, consider how an optimist, a pessimist, an analyst, an economist and a psychologist might look at that question. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.  
Read more »

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Manifesto

NO. 5: WE CAN’T stop misfortune from befalling us—but we can limit the fallout by keeping emergency money, living below our means, taking on debt cautiously and buying the right insurance.

think

FACTOR INVESTING. Academic studies have attempted to identify which stock market characteristics—or “factors”—are associated with superior risk-adjusted returns. Historically, such returns have been delivered by small-company stocks, value shares, stocks displaying short-term upward price momentum and stocks of companies with higher gross profitability.

act

CALCULATE YOUR net worth, which is your assets minus all debts. Don’t count your car, home or other possessions, unless you plan to sell these items and add the proceeds to your savings. As a rule of thumb, you should aim to have a net worth that’s equal to your income at age 30, three times your income at age 40, 5½ times at age 50 and 10 times at age 60.

Truths

NO. 43: IT’S TOUGH to time the market. If you trade in and out of stocks, trying to capture bull markets and sidestep market declines, you could easily miss out on big gains. The problem: Stock market gains and losses often come in quick bursts, making it difficult to time buy and sell decisions, plus you could generate hefty trading costs and large tax bills.

Estate planning

Manifesto

NO. 5: WE CAN’T stop misfortune from befalling us—but we can limit the fallout by keeping emergency money, living below our means, taking on debt cautiously and buying the right insurance.

Spotlight: Investing

My Proxy Wars

I JUST RECEIVED an email from TD Ameritrade Clearing, Inc., imploring me to “Vote now! KYNDRYL HOLDINGS, INC. Annual Meeting.”
For the few who haven’t read my fascinating earlier article, I will share my heuristic for voting proxies: “yes” to independent chairmen, “no” to classified boards, “no” to options, and then “yes” or “no” to whatever piques my interest.
I’ll usually spend 10 minutes max thoroughly reviewing the issues for the first proxy I receive in the new year.

Read more »

Right but Wrong

I’M A BIG BELIEVER in transparency, so I’d like to tell you a little about my personal investments. As you might guess, the overwhelming majority of my money is allocated to simple, low-cost index funds—the same things I recommend in my writing and for my clients. That is true almost without exception. But today, I would like to describe one of those exceptions.
Many years ago, before I entered the investment industry, I purchased shares in a small mutual fund called the Mairs &

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All Hat No Cattle

IT’S ONLY BEEN relatively recently that mankind has come to rely on banks, brokerage firms and investment companies to build wealth.
Tangible property—land, gold bars, houses, livestock and so on—was the standard of wealth just a couple of centuries ago. The Bible frequently cites cattle to signify someone’s wealth. If folks had “cattle on a thousand hills,” they were a billionaire in that era. Wealth was something that you could physically lay your hands on.

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Many Happy Returns

AS THE OLD SAYING goes, there are lies, damned lies and statistics. And then there’s investment performance, which may deserve a category all its own.
This topic came to mind recently when I saw a press release heralding the accomplishments of a retired nonprofit executive. Among the claims: that he had doubled the organization’s endowment. This struck me as impressive—until I considered it more critically. What did it mean that he had doubled the endowment?

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Mistakes Compounded

A GOOD GRASP OF compounding is fundamental to managing money. Without an understanding of the way money grows and shrinks over time, folks can’t fully appreciate the value of starting to save when they’re young, the damage done by large investment losses or the true cost of carrying credit-card debt.
Yet I fear compounding isn’t well understood. This has dawned on me over the past month, as I’ve been teaching an undergraduate course on personal finance.

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We’re All Active

OVER THE PAST TWO decades, investors have increasingly shunned actively managed mutual funds, instead embracing index mutual funds and exchange-traded index funds. This has led to a contrived debate over whether active or passive investing is better.
My contention: It’s wrong to position indexing as somehow the mirror opposite of active management. Why? Even if you eliminate active mutual fund managers and their fees from your portfolio, you still need to grapple with three crucial investment decisions—all of which involve the sort of judgment call active investors must make.

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Spotlight: Clements

Work in Progress

RETIREMENT MAY MARK the end of fulltime work—but that doesn’t mean we should stop working on our finances. Even after we quit the workforce, there’s much we can do to strengthen our retirement plan and, indeed, that may be necessary if we find we’re drawing down our nest egg too quickly. Are you concerned that you might outlive your savings? Consider these six financial tweaks: 1. Work part-time. I’ve heard folks claim that if you’re still doing some work for pay, you aren’t truly retired. I think that’s silly—as silly as the related notion that a happy retirement is one devoted to blissful nothingness. My contention: Working part-time in retirement is not only a great way to bolster our retirement finances, but for some folks it may also be the key to a happier retirement, because it delivers the sense of purpose they need. Working a day or two each week may not be as appealing or even possible later in retirement, but it could be a smart strategy during our initial retirement years. Think of it this way: If you could earn $10,000 a year by working part-time, that’s like having a nest egg that’s $250,000 larger, assuming a 4% portfolio withdrawal rate. 2. Spend less. During our working years, we often temporarily cut back on discretionary spending if we find ourselves out of work or if we get hit with large, unexpected expenses. Even after we quit the workforce, such spending adjustments should remain a key weapon in our financial arsenal. Facing steep medical bills? Worried because stocks are down sharply? Temporarily reducing spending could get your finances back on track. Thanks to the pandemic, most of us have discovered there’s plenty of fat in our budget. Think about how much you saved over the past 14 months by not going on vacation, cooking at home and avoiding the shopping mall. During retirement, if your nest egg looks a little depleted, perhaps you should adopt a “pandemic budget” for six months or a year. 3. Delay Social Security. The math is crystal clear: As long as you live until at least your late 70s or early 80s, you’ll come out ahead financially if you cover costs in your early retirement years by spending down your cash and bond holdings, while delaying the start of Social Security benefits, so you lock in a larger stream of government-guaranteed, inflation-adjusted income. [xyz-ihs snippet="Mobile-Subscribe"] What if you’ve already claimed benefits and realize you’ve made a mistake? If you’re younger than your full Social Security retirement age (FRA) of 66 or 67 and you claimed benefits within the past 12 months, you can repay the benefits you received and reverse the decision. Alternatively, if you’ve already reached your FRA, you can suspend benefits. You can then leave your monthly check to grow at eight percentage points a year, plus any inflation increase, up until age 70. 4. Buy income annuities. Another way to squeeze more income out of your nest egg is to use a slice of your savings to buy immediate fixed annuities that pay lifetime income. Yes, that means turning over a chunk of your portfolio to an insurance company. But unless you die early in retirement, it could be a smart move. As I’ve mentioned before, I plan to put a significant sum into immediate fixed annuities. The resulting regular income will allow me to invest my remaining portfolio more heavily in stocks—and that could mean a larger inheritance for my kids, despite the money I “lost” by buying the immediate annuities. My plan is to purchase those immediate annuities in my 60s. But buying annuities could also salvage your later retirement years. Suppose you and your spouse are age 80 and have $300,000 left in savings. A 4% withdrawal rate would give you $12,000 a year. What if, instead, you stashed the entire $300,000 in an immediate fixed annuity? You’d collect annual income of almost $24,000, according to a quote from Charles Schwab. Note that this income would be fixed. If you wanted the income to rise each year by, say, 2%, so you have some protection against inflation, the initial income would be somewhat lower. 5. Keep at least 30% in stocks. Retirees often favor bonds and cash investments. But if you want your nest egg to generate a healthy stream of income that keeps up with inflation, you should stash part of your savings in stocks. To understand why, check out Vanguard Group’s retirement nest egg calculator. It uses something called Monte Carlo analysis to see how a retirement portfolio might perform in a host of market scenarios. Suppose you’re looking to fund a 30-year retirement and want to use a 4.5% withdrawal rate. If you play around with the calculator, you’ll see that a very high stock allocation probably won’t hurt your chances of funding that 30-year retirement—but a low allocation likely will. Indeed, once your stock allocation drops below 30%, things start looking pretty grim, especially if you stash the remaining money heavily in cash investments. If anything, I’d favor a minimum stock allocation closer to 40% or even 50%. Why? Vanguard’s calculator is built on historical returns. At today’s miserably low bond and cash yields, such conservative investments will struggle to keep up with inflation. To be sure, future stock returns may also be disappointing by historical standards, given today’s rich valuations. But at least stocks give investors a decent shot at outpacing the twin threats of inflation and taxes. 6. Tap home equity. Downsizing to a smaller, less expensive home is a hassle, but it strikes me as the smartest way to use home equity to pay for retirement. Done right, it should allow retirees to convert part of their current home’s value into spending money, while also lowering their monthly living costs. I’m less keen on reverse mortgages or accessing home equity by remortgaging a home. Both should be viewed as last resorts, I believe. Still, I wouldn’t rule them out. You only get one shot at retirement—and I’d rather see folks take out a reverse mortgage than spend their final years pinching pennies. Jonathan Clements is the founder and editor of HumbleDollar. Follow him on Twitter @ClementsMoney and on Facebook, and check out his earlier articles. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
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Playing the Odds

ON WALL STREET, there’s a story—apocryphal, I suspect—that’s told about an old trader, a young trader and the 1962 Cuban missile crisis. Old trader: “They say this could lead to nuclear war.” Young trader: “So we should buy bonds, right?” Old trader: “No, we should buy stocks. If we don’t get war, the stock market will rally. And if we get a nuclear war, it won’t matter what we own.” Today’s pandemic won’t lead to nuclear war (except perhaps in the Oliver Stone movie version). But many folks seem to fear the economic equivalent: that we’ll suffer a downward GDP death spiral that sends us back to the Stone Age. Needless to say, this would not be good for share prices. But do you imagine you’d be any better off if you had your money in bonds, Krugerrands or certificates of deposit? Let’s face it: If the economy ceases to function, it won’t matter what you own. What if the economy recovers, which everybody—except your crazy uncle—expects will happen eventually? Stocks will go up. In other words, owning stocks is an asymmetrical bet. As with bonds and cash investments, the most we can lose in the stock market is 100% of our investment. But with stocks, your potential gain is far larger. In fact, it’s infinite. To be sure, we haven’t yet reached infinity—and even the most bullish Wall Street strategists aren’t anticipating that any time soon—but we’ve been doing pretty well. Over the past 100 years, the S&P 500 has climbed 1,573,425%, including reinvested dividends. True, there have been periods—like today—when you would have been better off avoiding stocks and instead going long cash, hand sanitizer and toilet paper. But these periods typically don’t last more than a year. Indeed, to profit from a stock market downturn, you need to be right not only about the direction of share prices, but also in your timing. History tells us that almost nobody is consistently smart enough or lucky enough to succeed with such bearish bets. That leaves the rest of us—we poor wretched souls who are neither clairvoyant nor preternaturally lucky—to do the sensible thing, which is to play the lopsided odds offered by the stock market’s asymmetrical bet. Over time, we should allocate as much as we prudently can to stocks, knowing that we’ll suffer occasional rough patches, but also knowing that the stock market’s long-term direction is up. That doesn’t mean we should stash everything in stocks. If we have money in our portfolio that we’ll need to spend soon, that should be in conservative investments, so our spending plans aren’t derailed by plunging share prices. Similarly, if we’re nervous investors, we might keep more in bonds, so our portfolio’s short-term performance is less erratic. But even then, a significant portion of our portfolio should always be in stocks. At times like this, the clever cocktail crowd might view such optimism as naïve and unsophisticated. But guess what? In the financial markets, optimism—or, at least, prudent optimism—invariably wins. How can I be so sure? Forget about economic growth, dividends and corporate profits—the usual reasons given for owning stocks. Instead, simply look around. Consider how people are behaving during this extraordinary period. Here are just five examples of what I see: I’m a member of the Barnes Foundation, the fabulous museum in Philadelphia. The museum is closed because of COVID-19, but every weekday an employee posts a video discussing one of his or her favorite paintings. Across the country, protesters are demanding that governors allow local businesses to reopen. As Peter Mallouk discussed in a recent article, scam artists have rushed to take advantage of the pandemic. Unable to compete against each other in person, professional basketball players have faced off in long-distance games of HORSE, trying to make baskets from different locations on the court. Where I live, barbershops aren’t considered an essential service and should be closed. Yet my local barber—a hardworking Russian immigrant—is open, wielding his scissors while wearing a mask. What do all these folks—some inspiring, some misguided, some larcenous—have in common? They’re trying to make the best of a bad situation. It’s who we are as humans. We’re relentlessly driven to make our lives better. This impulse is especially strong in capitalist societies, because it’s often further incentivized by the prospect of financial gain. It’s the reason I’m fully confident we’ll recover, and probably recover with surprising speed, from the current economic slowdown. Want to benefit from this relentless drive? That’s why we invest in the stock market. I don’t know which stocks will fare best in the months and years ahead. Some companies—both privately held and publicly traded—will never recover from today’s economic shock. Indeed, with any one individual stock, we could end up on the wrong side of the asymmetrical bet and lose 100% of our investment. Even entire national stock markets (hint: Japan) can struggle for decades. But those who bet on the global stock market for the long haul have never lost 100%. For these investors, the asymmetrical bet has always been a winner. After every stock market decline, share prices globally have recouped their bear market losses and then headed higher. Every single time. Want this upward trend to be your friend? The formula is very simple: Buy stocks. Diversify broadly. Wait patiently. In addition to editing HumbleDollar, Jonathan is the director of financial education for Creative Planning, which is where this article first appeared. Jonathan and Creative's president, Peter Mallouk, together host a monthly podcast. Follow Jonathan on Twitter @ClementsMoney and on Facebook. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
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Budget Busting

WHO SHOULD DIET? This isn’t exactly a tough one: It’s people who need to lose weight. Who should budget? If you listen to conventional wisdom, this is another easy one: It seems we all should. Creating a written budget, and then tracking our spending against it, is considered a sign of high financial rectitude. I think this is nonsense. I have never created a written budget and I don’t track my spending—because I don't need to. I suspect many HumbleDollar readers are in the same camp. Let’s say you’re in the workforce and save at least 12% of your income. Or assume you’re retired and each year you withdraw no more than 4% or 5% of your portfolio’s beginning-of-year value. In either case, you clearly have your spending under control, so why does it matter exactly how you spend your dollars? I’m not the only one who feels this way. You would be hard-pressed to find a group of people who are thriftier than the Bogleheads, devotees of Vanguard Group founder John C. Bogle. A recent discussion on the Bogleheads’ forum focused on the need to budget. Among those who commented, an overwhelming majority said they don’t bother. In other words, budgeting really is the same as dieting. The only people who should budget are the people who need to budget—those who save too little and spend too much. And my hunch is, like so many dieters who fail to lose weight, those who budget often make scant financial progress. Why not? A written budget is no competition for our human failings. We all have weaknesses. It might be smoking, drinking, gambling, failure to exercise, infidelity or overeating. But for many, their big weakness is spending too much. A minority of folks—like those found on the Bogleheads’ forum—are supremely disciplined about money. But most people aren’t: Controlling their spending is a daily battle and, more often than not, it’s a battle they lose. A written budget could potentially help the spendthrift. But I suspect it serves mostly to deepen their sense of failure. How can we win this fight? My advice: Forget budgeting—and do what many of the Bogleheads do, which is to “pay yourself first.” That might sound trite. But it works—and the best way to put it into practice is to automate your savings program. That might mean making payroll contributions to your employer’s 401(k) or 403(b) plan, or it could mean signing up for mutual-fund automatic investment plans. Both strategies helped me get started as a saver. Indeed, when I was a young, penniless reporter at Forbes magazine, with a newborn at home and a wife in graduate school, I didn’t initially sign up for the 401(k). To my surprise, I got a call from the company’s treasurer, telling me I ought to contribute and saying I’d never miss the money. He was right. These automatic savings programs are effective, because they get money out of our paychecks and bank accounts before we have a chance to spend it. We’re then forced to live on whatever remains. Yes, there’s always a risk we’ll keep spending recklessly and rack up the credit cards instead. But if we can resist that urge and stick with our automatic savings program, we’ll likely be astonished by the results. While I don’t think there’s much virtue in budgeting, I do believe there’s great value in knowing one number: How much we spend each month on mortgage or rent, utilities, groceries, car payments and other fixed living costs. That’s crucial information if we find ourselves out of work and it should guide the size of our emergency fund. What if our fixed living costs are consuming a large portion of our income? That may be the reason we find it so hard to save. Follow Jonathan on Twitter @ClementsMoney and on Facebook. His recent articles include All Better, Archie Is Scum and Favorite Questions. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
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Just Do It

WANT TO TAKE SOME simple steps to improve your life, as well as that of those around you? Here are 11 things to do today: Look somebody in the eye and say, “Thank you so much. I really appreciate it.” Stop talking about yourself and, instead, ask folks about their life. Throw out something you’ve been meaning to get rid of. Read an article by somebody you disagree with—and think hard about whether he or she might be at least partially right. Stop pretending to family and friends that everything is great. Tell someone about a weakness you struggle with or a problem in your life. Think about somebody rich or famous. Now ask yourself: Is his or her life as great as you imagine—or is it a mixture of good and bad, just like yours? Arguably, the rich and famous have it worse than the rest of us: They have far more than others and yet they’re almost certainly dissatisfied. But at the same time, they can’t complain, because people will think they’re a bunch of whiners. Spend five extra minutes exercising. Donate to a charity. Get in touch with someone you haven’t spoken to in a while. Ponder the things you’re looking forward to most in the year ahead. Take a moment to think about your favorite people and possessions—and be grateful for your good fortune. Follow Jonathan on Twitter @ClementsMoney and on Facebook. His most recent articles include Eyes Forward, Low Blows and Saving Myself. Jonathan's latest books: From Here to Financial Happiness and How to Think About Money. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
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Money Grows Up

I MOVED FROM LONDON to New York City in 1986, when I was age 23. That’s when my financial education truly began. I’d previously studied economics for three years and spent a year writing about the international financial markets for Euromoney magazine. Still, I knew almost nothing about investing, insurance, homeownership and other topics crucial to managing a household's finances. [caption id="attachment_1547047" align="alignright" width="150"] Part One of Six[/caption] I’ve learned a ton since, and the focus of that education keeps changing, providing endless fodder for articles during my long career as a financial writer. The fact is, the way we think about money today is totally different from four decades ago, and that's a huge plus. How so? We're now focused less on determining the "optimal" financial products and strategies—and more on how money can be used to improve the lives of everyday individuals. Investing. As with almost everybody else, investing was where my financial journey began. I worked at Forbes magazine from late 1986 to early 1990, focusing principally on mutual funds. The standard article was the fund manager profile. It was fairly formulaic: Interview a guy (yes, it was almost always a man) with a decent track record, cook up some theme for the article, describe his investment strategy, and then offer three or four stock picks that illustrated his approach. I felt like I wouldn't be a real journalist until I worked for a daily newspaper. That opportunity came in January 1990, when The Wall Street Journal hired me to write about mutual funds. But by then, it was starting to dawn on me that few star fund managers remained stars, and it was impossible to figure out ahead of time who they’d be. Thus began my passion for index funds. As I relentlessly advocated for broadly diversified, low-cost index funds, I briefly imagined that I knew pretty much everything I needed to know about managing money. But in truth, I’d barely scratched the surface. Personal finance. With the investing problem “solved” with index funds, I went looking for other subjects to tackle in my weekly Journal column, which first appeared in 1994. In the years that followed, I found myself writing about personal-finance topics such as taxes, Social Security, college funding, insurance and estate planning. Unlike investing, where folks were unlikely to do better than a simple portfolio of low-cost index funds, there was ample room for improvement in these other areas of money management. Indeed, a modest effort could greatly bolster a family’s financial position, and yet these topics were largely ignored by financial advisors and Wall Street investment houses. Behavior. Even as I dabbled in subjects other than investing, I developed an interest in behavioral finance and evolutionary psychology. Why did investors resist indexing, despite its obvious advantages? Why did they misjudge their appetite for risk? Why do folks spend so much today and save too little for retirement? The broad parameters of what constitutes smart financial behavior are pretty much agreed upon, even if experts might quibble about the details. Problem is, knowing the right course of action isn’t enough. It’s like losing weight or improving our fitness. The big issue isn’t figuring out what to do. Rather, it’s getting ourselves to do what we know is right. That can require a huge effort—because we need to overcome our hardwired instincts. Meaning. Money isn’t simply the vehicle we use to put a roof over our head and food on the table. Instead, our relationship with money is far more complicated. We use it to try to make ourselves happier, to recreate our most treasured memories from childhood, and to tell the world who we are and what we value. In other words, we take money and we infuse it with meaning. Around 2005 or so, I became fascinated by happiness research, and whether money can indeed boost our satisfaction with our lot in life. The answer is “yes,” but the research also highlighted money’s limitations. For instance, the boost to happiness from a new car or a pay raise can be remarkably brief, while the impact on happiness of a seven-figure portfolio pales in significance compared to folks’ predisposition to be happy—whether they have a high or low happiness set point. Self-knowledge. Behavioral finance helps us understand why we behave the way we do, while happiness research offers ideas for how to get more satisfaction out of our dollars. But which insights resonate the most? The answer will be different for each of us. That brings me to what, I suspect, will be an increasing focus of the financial world: offering folks insights into who they are, so they can be better managers of their own money. How can we figure out what our true risk tolerance is? What mix of the five personality types do we possess, and how does that affect our financial decision making? What from our past continues to play a role in the financial choices we make today? These, I think, are fascinating questions—and I suspect folks will be much better able to answer them in the years ahead. Jonathan Clements is the founder and editor of HumbleDollar. Follow him on X @ClementsMoney and on Facebook, and check out his earlier articles. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
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Do It for the Kids

IT'S TIME TO PAY IT forward. That’s a phrase I often use when talking about helping the next generation. But my efforts have been mostly focused on my children and grandchildren. What about others in future generations, especially those from less affluent families? Welcome to the Jonathan Clements Getting Going on Savings Initiative and the accompanying book, The Best of Jonathan Clements: Classic Columns on Money and Life. The savings initiative aims to get young adults started in the financial markets with $1,000 contributions to Roth IRAs, with those contributions funded by both direct donations and the royalties from the book. The book consists of more than 60 of my old Wall Street Journal columns. I’d love to take credit for all of this, but my involvement has been modest. After my cancer diagnosis, there was a move to establish a journalism award in my honor. I suggested the savings initiative instead. The heavy-lifting was then done by five luminaries of the personal-finance world: Christine Benz, Bill Bernstein, Karen Damato, Mike Piper and Allan Roth. I consider all five to be friends, and all have some involvement with the John C. Bogle Center for Financial Literacy. Also working on the initiative are two other groups: J-PAL North America and the City of Boston’s Summer Youth Employment Program. Meanwhile, the fine folks at publisher Harriman House assisted with the book's design, and The Wall Street Journal allowed my old columns to be reprinted at no cost. Indeed, the program is being supported by both the Dow Jones Foundation and News Corp., the Journal’s publisher. You can read more about the savings initiative here, and also in Jason Zweig’s Wall Street Journal article from earlier today. Just to be clear, I’m not making any money from the book, and nor are any of the other participants. Want to pitch in? There are two ways: Buy copies of the book or purchase the Kindle edition. Make a tax-deductible donation. I don’t know of any other program that takes young adults and gets them so directly involved in the financial markets, providing not just the money to get started, but also the investment vehicle as well. Will it lead some of these young adults to become regular savers and investors? If it does, lives will have been transformed. How cool is that? Jonathan Clements is the founder and editor of HumbleDollar. Follow him on X @ClementsMoney and on Facebook, and check out his earlier posts. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
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