Take It to the Limit?
Kyle McIntosh | Jan 22, 2022
LIKE SOME OF YOU reading this, I get a thrill from seeing my 401(k) contributions start at zero in January and tick up to the annual limit. I’ve been fortunate to maximize my contributions for most of my 24 working years. Last year, my contributions topped out at the 2021 limit of $19,500. In 2022, I’m aiming to make the maximum contribution of $20,500. For those age 50 and older, you can contribute up to $27,000 in 2022. Up to now, I’ve considered it a no-brainer to contribute the 401(k) max. While I’m not making any changes this year, I am starting to think differently as I inch closer to retirement. If you’re in a similar situation, here are three factors you may want to consider when deciding how much to contribute. First, if you’re in a low-tax bracket or live in a low-tax state, the tax benefit of contributing pretax dollars to a 401(k) account could be minimal. If you think your tax rate will be higher in retirement, you could be better off investing through a standard brokerage account and paying tax on your earnings now. You could also opt for a Roth 401(k) if your employer offers that option. Factors that might drive your future tax rate higher include a retirement account that’ll generate significant income or plans to move to a higher-tax state. A second factor to consider is how you’ll invest the funds. If you will be conservative when investing 401(k) contributions, the benefit of deferring tax on investment earnings will be minimal. It may be worth paying the small annual tax bill and having immediate access to your savings. Finally, you should consider how long the funds will be in the 401(k) account. If you have many years—or even decades—before you’ll withdraw the funds,…
Read more » Betting Against
Kyle McIntosh | Nov 24, 2021
I’M USUALLY BORING when it comes to investing. My portfolio is mostly comprised of stock and bond index funds. I dabble in individual stocks when I come across something I see as interesting, but individual stocks have never made up more than 5% of my portfolio. I currently hold just three individual stocks amounting to less than 2% of my investment holdings. While my interest is occasionally piqued by stocks with upside potential, I’m more often drawn to companies I see as having significant downside. This glass-half-empty orientation likely reflects the professional skepticism that comes with being a CPA. I’ve never acted on my bearish instincts—until now. Recent developments at Peloton Interactive (symbol: PTON) have led me to wager that the stock will continue declining. I’ve followed Peloton closely for years. I love its product. But a series of management missteps have caused me—and many others—to become bearish on the stock. The company’s troubles have included bungling a product recall and unexpectedly bad financial performance. The last straw for me: Peloton recently raised $1 billion through a stock sale—just two weeks after the company’s chief financial officer indicated such an infusion of capital was unnecessary. To act on my bearishness, I decided that buying a put option was the most prudent approach. Unlike shorting a stock—which has an unlimited downside if shares rise—a put option limits my possible loss to the premium I pay for the put. After considering the array of options available, I paid $200 for a put that gives me the right to sell 100 shares of Peloton at a “strike price” of $35 a share in April 2022. There’s a wide range of possible outcomes for this option position, but I’ll give two possibilities. If the stock trades above $35 in April 2022—which is likely, given…
Read more » Value Machine
Kyle McIntosh | Oct 8, 2021
SEPTEMBER WAS A BIG anniversary month for us. In addition to celebrating our 19th wedding anniversary, we celebrated our third Pelo-versary. In the words of my mother-in-law, we are Peloton addicts. Ask us about our favorite instructors at your own risk. The general perception of Peloton—for which the entry price is now $1,495—is that it’s priced too high for most people. While I don’t believe that Peloton is “democratizing fitness,” as its CEO suggests, I do see solid value in Peloton bikes for households that’ll use them consistently. As early adopters of Peloton, we paid $2,200 for our bike, shoes and delivery. We also pay $39 per month to be “connected fitness users,” which allows us to take live and on-demand classes. Our membership covers all four members of our household, though my wife and I are the main users. In addition to bike classes, we have access to strength, yoga, stretching and bootcamp classes. How can a $2,200 bike with a $39 monthly fee be a good value? First, if we spread the $2,200 over the past 36 months and add the monthly fee, the monthly cost is $100. That average compares favorably to what we’d pay for two high-quality gym memberships here in California. Further, if we assume the bike will last two more years, the average monthly cost becomes $76 and the comparison favors Peloton even more. And, of course, the value equation is even better for those buying at today’s lower price point. Another way I look at value is based on cost per workout. Since 2018, between my wife and me, we’ve completed almost 3,000 classes. As we usually complete two or three classes during each workout session, we’ve done about 1,200 workouts—which usually last between 45 and 60 minutes—in the past three years. This…
Read more » College Savings Forum
Kyle Mcintosh | Jun 25, 2024
Over the last 17 years, I have been saving a modest amount each month in a 529 plan. I have been doing the same for my daughter for the past 14 years. Given the market performance and our steady contributions over time, these modest monthly contributions have grown to be a sizable amount. While I am thrilled that we should have most of our college cost covered, I've often wondered if the 529 plan was the best bet in saving for college. I have done much thinking on this topic, and I'm sure many others have as well. I am creating this forum to share some analysis/thinking on this subject and to hear what others have to say.
Read more » Kids These Days
Kyle McIntosh | Dec 15, 2021
A FEW WEEKS BACK, Jonathan Clements wrote an article reminding readers that they, too, likely made financial missteps in their younger days. His article was in response to comments by HumbleDollar readers about the perceived lack of financial discipline shown by those currently in their late teens and early 20s. Before my recent career change, I would’ve had the same opinion as many readers. With my new job teaching accounting to undergraduates, however, my perspective has changed. While it’s hard to ignore the pricey lattes accompanying many students to class, I’m bullish on the financial future of today’s college students. First, most students are hustlers. Because of the high cost of college, students often work one or more jobs to help pay for college. I have one student who closely monitors his DoorDash app and knows the optimal times of the week to jump in his car to deliver food. This DoorDash driving is on top of his other work and athletic commitments. I also see students taking advantage of internship opportunities. Given the tight labor market, there’s high demand for student workers among local businesses, especially in accounting. I have one student who will have two paid internships during the spring semester. Instead of relaxing because of a lighter-than-usual course load, she’s ramping up the experience—and income—she’ll collect before she graduates. Another trend I’ve seen: Students are much more interested in stock investing than I was as an undergraduate in the 1990s. I’m regularly approached by students who want to learn how to read financial statements and do fundamental stock analysis. I recently had lunch with a freshman who was keen to learn about the meaning of price-earnings ratios and dividend yields. This student now researches stocks and sends investment ideas to me on a regular basis. A final heart-warmer…
Read more » Hotels Over Coffee
Kyle McIntosh | Aug 30, 2021
WHEN I MATCHED UP our monthly spending with the terms of the Starbucks Rewards Visa card, I calculated that I could potentially get a free drip coffee every day of the year. Given the proliferation of Starbucks in our Los Angeles suburb—including one within 400 yards of my office—it’s tempting to cover my caffeination by swiping my credit card. After some deliberation, however, I’m going to focus instead on amassing travel rewards points. For the past five years, I’ve used the Marriott Rewards credit card, which gives me at least one hotel point for each dollar I spend. The key reason I like this card: With my spending, I’m effectively forcing myself to save for a vacation. While a daily Starbucks coffee would be nice, I can see this reward getting old after a few weeks. I treat myself to Starbucks once or twice per week. A daily dose may be too much. I view it as more prudent to save for a big experience a few times each year rather than focus on getting my daily coffee comped. Another solid feature of the Marriott card: The effective rewards rate compares well to the teaser rates advertised by cash-back cards. Based on our spending level, I place the value for the free nights we earn at about 1.7% of our total spending. While that’s lower than the 2% that Katie Ledecky was advertising during the Olympics, we have a lot more fun with our free hotel nights than we’d get from a periodic credit on our billing statement. An additional benefit I’ve been impressed by—and one not to be taken lightly when evaluating cards—is that it’s been easy to use our hotel points. The rewards points post soon after the dollars are spent, and we’ve never had an issue getting…
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