Risks Retirees Face
Sundar Mohan Rao | Mar 12, 2024
WE’VE ALL HEARD THE maxim that “without risk, there’s no reward.” Over the years, we’ve all taken countless risks—big and small, financial and otherwise—to get to where we are today. Every activity has a risk associated with it, and that includes retirement. It’s best to be aware of these risks and, when prudent, take steps to limit them. Here are nine risks that retirees face. 1. Health. Even if we’re fortunate to enjoy a long, active retirement, our health may not be great in our later years. Alternatively, even if our own health holds up, our spouse may have medical issues. On top of that, we’ll likely face escalating health costs as we age. I’ve watched a friend move from independent living to assisted living to a nursing home to memory care. Each move was progressively more expensive. Good planning is needed to manage such life-changing events. 2. Longevity. I met a retiree at a party who said, “My mother passed away at 70 and my father at 72. The chance of me reaching my 90s is virtually nil. My plan is to spend more and enjoy life while it lasts.” A wise move? No matter what our family health history, it’s risky to assume we won’t enjoy a long life. And even if we don’t live to a ripe old age, our spouse may. 3. Market downturns. While the stock market has returned an average 10% a year over long stretches, a major drawdown of 20% or more could happen at any time. When we were young, we had many years to recoup such losses. But once we’re retired and drawing on our portfolio for spending money, our time horizon is often considerably shorter. A balanced portfolio of stocks and bonds can help reduce this risk. 4. Spending. We…
Read more » Filling Our Cups
Sundar Mohan Rao | Dec 25, 2024
DURING A PROJECT meeting at my old employer, a member of our team was constantly raising questions without offering any solutions. Afterwards, the team leader commented, “This guy always thinks his cup is half empty. Nothing will ever satisfy him.” We’ve all known such people. Is there anything wrong with their attitude? It depends. My boss told me during my first week, “Never be satisfied with the status quo. Find ways to improve everything. That’s the only way you’ll move up in the organization.” Our civilization has made tremendous advances because people weren’t satisfied with the way things were. That can be a good thing—but only if it’s followed by steps to fix the problems identified. The “cup half-empty” group can be overly pessimistic. I’ve known several folks who always find fault with how things are. They may say they have high standards, but others might describe them as “very demanding” or “perfectionists.” Meanwhile, the “cup half-full” group can be overly optimistic. They’re the ones who say cheerfully, "Good morning. What a great day,” even when the sky is cloudy and the forecast isn’t good. They tend to be positive almost all the time. People tend to like optimists, and research shows optimists are typically happier than pessimists. I used to wonder if I was an optimist or a pessimist. I got my answer when visiting my son some years ago. He was driving with the gas tank less than 10% full. I was constantly pointing out that he needed to fill up. He thought I was stressing unnecessarily. In fact, I fill the gas tank every time it drops below the 50% mark. That may be overly cautious, but that’s me. One survey found that 46% of those age 65 and below are optimistic, versus 66% for those who…
Read more » Dump the 60/40 and target date funds for 100% stock plus annuity portfolio?
smr1082 | Feb 5, 2025
We have been discussing the value of a 60/40 investment portfolio in HD as a way to balance risk/reward over the long term. A report I read today suggests an all-equity portfolio, with a focus on international stocks, could be the key to maximizing retirement wealth compared to 60/40 allocation or target-date funds. It says an all equities portfolio is the far better way to build the largest nest egg possible for retirement; to generate a larger paycheck in retirement; to make sure you don't run out of money in retirement; to create the largest possible bequest for your loved ones. The recommendation is to Invest 100% of your savings earmarked for retirement in equities: one-third in U.S. stocks and two-thirds in international stocks. If you are more risk averse, having an annuity to cover basic expenses may make it easier to use an aggressive stock allocation with the remaining investments. This is different from my current allocations. I am exploring any changes I should make. See link https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20250104270/100-stocks-for-retirement-a-new-study-says-dump-the-6040-portfolio-and-target-date-funds Some may already be using such a strategy or similar ones. What are the pros and cons based on your experience? Would you consider changing your current strategy?
Read more » Sad news about T. V. Narayanan, a writer for HD
smr1082 | May 22, 2025
I want to share the sad news that Mr. T. V. Narayanan passed away in India, two days ago, of a brief illness. He is survived by his wife, son, daughter-in-law, and 3 grandchildren. We will miss him dearly. Here is an article he wrote for HD: https://humbledollar.com/2023/07/come-a-long-way/ He says in this article that he must have read just about every column that Jonathan Clements wrote as a personal finance columnist for the Journal and learned much from them. He has read every investment book he could find, including those by Jonathan, Burton Malkiel, John Bogle, Charles Ellis, William Bernstein, Larry Swedroe, Jeremy Siegel and many others. This financial knowledge helped him very well. He advised many on investments. He was one of the most humble persons, I have ever met. He introduced me to Humble Dollar, for which I am very grateful. Our thoughts and prayers are with his family. May his soul rest in peace. Sundar Mohan Rao
Read more » Assisted Living: How Will You Choose?
smr1082 | May 11, 2025
There have been many discussions about assisted living and CCRC in HD. As I learn about how they staff and manage these facilities, there are many unanswered questions. Currently, about 65% of elderly are cared for by their families at home. For 13% of those who aren’t living with family, the gap is partially filled by assisted living establishments. The median cost of care is $5,900/month, but ancillary services are extra. That can bring that cost over $15,000/month. Every extra service is billed for maximum profit. Staffing shortages, more medical needs of patients due to older age, sparse state regulations, and profit driven private equity and corporate ownership has created an environment where compassionate care is not easy to find. Choice of such facilities has to be made carefully. However, this is not always possible. In most cases, one has a week or so to make a decision which is "crisis driven." When you visit such facilities, you are shown beautiful buildings, with nice lawns, fountains, and shuttle buses. I visited about half a dozen such facilities in multiple states and they are, no doubt, impressive. But the ground reality on daily care may be very disappointing due to staffing shortage and profit mind set. Here is an article that provides a good overview of the industry and issues. https://www.theguardian.com/society/ng-interactive/2025/may/01/nursing-home-assisted-living-costs-care Here are my questions: What have been your experiences with assisted living facilities? Are non-profits any better? How will you choose a facility for a loved one or yourself? Is assisted living in a CCRC any better?
Read more » Still Above Ground
Sundar Mohan Rao | Feb 9, 2024
I WAS WORRIED ABOUT what we’d be giving up when, a few years ago, we moved to a 55-plus community in Atlanta. We downsized from a large home to a small apartment, plus all our neighbors were considerably older. It was obvious we had to adjust and start enjoying our unfamiliar environment or we’d end up miserable. My wife and I made a conscious decision to slow down, and make every effort to get to know other residents and their life stories. Within several weeks, we felt more comfortable living there. One conversation during the first week transformed my thinking about retiree life. The man was much older, struggled with mobility and was constantly in pain. But he was always cheerful and would say “hello” whenever he saw me. One morning, I ran into him in the corridor. I greeted him with, "Good morning. Have a great day.” His reply, said with a smile: “Any day above ground is a great day.” This simple statement had a profound impact on how I thought about life’s day-to-day struggles. A day could be bad for many reasons: a dead car battery, a traffic jam, a parking ticket, a client canceling a contract, office politics and more. But the important thing is, I’m still above ground, living and breathing, which isn’t always a given for a senior. I’m thankful for this fact, and it makes all other problems seem small, trivial and not worth worrying about. We’re told to “count your blessings,” which helps us keep things in perspective when they don’t go well. This gratitude—especially the gratitude that we’re still above ground—can allow us to get some distance from life’s day-to-day hassles. Such thoughts can also help with investing. Legendary investor Warren Buffett has said that it's wise for investors “to be…
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