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No, it is not a scam

"Sorry this is wrong, i misread the international aspect of question."
- R Quinn
Read more »

What, Me Worry?

"Of the two, inflation is by far the more troublesome. As you note, volatility is largely temporary — it comes and goes. Inflation, by contrast, is relentless and persistent. Which brings us to what might be finance's best-kept joke: we need volatility precisely to compensate for inflation. A classic chicken-and-egg situation."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

The Anatomy of a Threshold Rebalance: April 2025

"I could say I got lucky, but that would involve a conscious choice, the magic of a policy statement is it's blind. Whether TACO was a Mexican dish or a market thesis on that day was entirely irrelevant to the trigger being pulled. My policy statement had never heard of TACO — and unlike certain world leaders, it doesn't chicken out either. It just counts to 15 and reaches for the mouse."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Forget the 4% rule.

"I suspect RMD requirements influence this. The data pesented also suggests that retirees can afford a social security "haircut", e.g they are currently. spending 50% or less of their annual withdrawal. The data underscores some published at Morningstar which indicates that many retirees could withdraw, and spend, more than they actually do. I don't know how typical we are, but we barely tap my annual RMD. G is not yet required to take this from her accounts. My projections indicate we could spend about double each year. Because of my illness it is very unlikely I'll be alive in 5 years, so running out of money isn't an issue. That's better than the alternative. . I'll probably be on dialysis "soon". I've told G to party and travel extensively after my demise. Currently my medical leash requires i be near a medical facility. However, we plan on leaving AZ for the summer and head to the lake in Michigan."
- normr60189
Read more »

Sector Fund by Stealth

I'VE RECENTLY MADE the most significant change to my own portfolio in thirty five years. For the first time I've moved away from pure market-cap investing, tilting meaningfully toward Europe and Southeast Asia and bringing my US technology concentration down to around fifteen percent. I'm retired. I don't need to chase the outperformance that concentration might deliver, and I don't need the potential volatility that comes with it. This is a personal position rather than any kind of recommendation; it's nothing more than a risk management decision made at a point in life where I simply don't need the risk. What prompted it was a growing discomfort with something I suspect many everyday investors haven't fully reckoned with: the S&P 500 is no longer quite the animal it once was. A broad market index fund casts a wide net across the economy, and the S&P 500, which tracks the 500 largest US businesses by market value, has long been held up as the sensible default: low cost, well diversified, a bet on the whole rather than any one part of it. A sector fund works differently; it makes a deliberate, concentrated bet on a specific industry. If you believe technology is going to outperform the market as a whole, it gives you the ability to concentrate your capital into exactly the sector your research or gut instinct suspects is going to be the place to be and let it run. The theory behind each is straightforward enough. A broad market fund captures a larger slice of the investment universe and is generally considered the lower-risk path. A sector fund comes with a well-understood trade-off: higher potential returns in good times, sharper drawdowns when sentiment turns. Investors who consciously choose a technology sector fund know what they're signing up for. The risk profile is understood, accepted, and priced into the decision. The problem is that the line between these two things has become a bit fuzzy, and most everyday investors haven't noticed. A handful of technology and technology-related companies (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet) have grown so dominant in their market valuations that they now represent a disproportionate share of the entire index. During the last year, the top ten holdings have accounted for roughly a third of the total weight of all 500 companies. The mechanism behind this is simply how the index works. The S&P 500 is market-cap weighted, meaning the bigger the company, the bigger its slice of the pie. As technology companies scaled their dominance through the 2010s and into the 2020s, their weight within the index ballooned accordingly. The index didn't change its rules; the market just rewarded one particular group of companies so heavily that they came to dominate the scoreboard. This means the investor who bought the S&P 500 believing they were spreading risk broadly across the American economy (energy, healthcare, financials, industrials, consumer staples) owns something that looks quite different to the story they were sold. You buy five hundred companies and a third of your money lands in ten stocks, most of them operating in the same broad technological ecosystem. That is a concentration risk, whether it is labelled as one or not. It's a sector fund “light”, acquired by stealth through the natural mechanics of market-cap weighting. The issue is that millions of everyday investors are carrying a version of that same risk without necessarily knowing it. Although I've used the S&P 500 as an example here, it isn't alone. Most broad-based indexes including developed world trackers will exhibit the same characteristics to varying degrees, because the same companies sit near the top of those indexes too. The MSCI World, often marketed as the global diversifier, allocates somewhere in the region of seventy percent to US equities, and within that, the familiar names reappear. You can cross borders on paper without ever really leaving the room. None of this is an argument against the S&P 500. The concentration reflects real, earned dominance; these companies grew to the top of the index because they genuinely deserved to. And whether my reallocation turns out to be the right call is genuinely unknowable. The concentrated index could continue to outperform for another decade and I'll have left returns on the table, a real possibility I've made my peace with. The point isn't that I've found the correct answer. The point is that I had the information to make a considered choice, weighed it against my own circumstances, and acted accordingly. That's all any investor can do. The uncomfortable truth is that a great many people haven't been given the chance to do the same. They're holding a product that has quietly changed its character, and nobody has thought to mention it. Better information doesn't guarantee better decisions, but it at least puts the decision where it belongs: with the person whose money it is. ___ Mark Crothers is a retired small business owner from the UK with a keen interest in personal finance and simple living. Married to his high school sweetheart, with daughters and grandchildren, he knows the importance of building a secure financial future. With an aversion to social media, he prefers to spend his time on his main passions: reading, scratch cooking, racket sports, and hiking.
Read more »

Value of Waiting

I WAS THINKING ABOUT Jonathan the other day on my morning walk, which happens more often than you might think. It’s hard not to think about him when you have HumbleDollar coasters in your living room and a HumbleDollar shopping bag in your car that you use for groceries. My wife confiscated the HumbleDollar cup I had been using for my morning tea, and it now has a new home in our bathroom holding her toothbrush and toothpaste. There’s even an apron somewhere in the house that Jonathan once sent to all the writers. Ever since I started writing for HumbleDollar in 2017, Jonathan has influenced my retirement. I now own the Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund (symbol: VT) in my investment portfolio because of his recommendation. He liked it for its “broad global diversification in one low-cost fund that covers virtually all publicly traded companies worldwide.” It struck me as a good way to simplify our holdings. I didn’t just borrow some of Jonathan’s investment ideas; I also borrowed some of his words he used when editing my articles. I began peppering my writing with words like fret, upshot, and folks. He once told me, “While your grammar is occasionally a bit dodgy, you have a great ear for language.” I was too embarrassed to ask him what he meant by a “great ear for language.” When I retired, I never imagined that writing for HumbleDollar would become such a big part of my retirement, and I’m grateful to Jonathan for that. I also didn’t think my retirement would be so fluid. I pictured something far more stable: remaining single, living in a one-bedroom condo, and fending for myself. My life now is different. I’m married and live in a three-bedroom home in another city. One of the biggest changes, however, has nothing to do with geography. It has to do with money—specifically, how financial decisions change when there are two people instead of one. I learned that lesson early in our marriage. We got married in August 2020. That December, I woke up one morning and saw blood in my urine. I went to an urologist who ran a series of tests, but it took about a month to determine the cause.   During that time, I decided to consolidate our remaining investment holdings to make things easier for Rachel to manage in case something happened to me. Most of our money was already at Vanguard, except for a 401(k) from my former employer that was invested in a stable value fund. It still held a significant balance. Without much hesitation, I moved it into a bond fund at Vanguard. Not too long afterward, the bond market nosedived. The fund performed poorly—especially compared to the stable value fund the money had been in. The upshot: I panicked—and paid for it. It wasn’t a good time to make a financial decision while I was under stress. Some of the worst money moves happen when emotions are running high—selling stocks at the bottom of a bear market or rushing to act after an unexpected windfall. More often than not, it’s better to wait until you’re clearheaded before making a decision. At the time, I was also fretting about whether Rachel would qualify for my Social Security benefit, which is much larger than hers. You have to be married for at least nine months. I found myself counting off the days. Another financial decision became more complicated simply because we were now a couple: what to do with the three properties we owned—my condo, Rachel’s house, and the house I had inherited. Neither of us wanted to be landlords at this stage of our lives. We were excited about getting married and starting a new life together. I decided to sell my condo during the pandemic, which wasn’t easy. Rather than wait, I accepted an offer of $380,000—$43,000 below the asking price. Rachel decided to wait and rent out her house for two years. She didn’t get caught up in the excitement or rush into selling. As it turned out, that patience paid off. When the for-sale sign finally went up, I would stop by the house to water the yard and rake the falling leaves. One day, a real estate agent and his client were there looking at the property. They kept asking me whether the price listed on the brochure was correct. Rachel’s agent had intentionally priced the house at the lower end of the range in hopes of creating a bidding war. I told them they would have to talk to my wife and her agent because it wasn’t my house. The agent asked how long we had been married. When I told him two years, he nodded and said, “I get it. She wanted to wait until she was sure about the marriage before selling the house.” Rachel laughed when I told her what he said. She wasn’t waiting to see if the marriage would work. She waited because selling a house is a major financial decision, and she didn’t see any reason to rush it. Two years later, the timing turned out to be just right. The market had improved and the strategy worked exactly as planned. There were multiple offers, and the final sale price was well above what it would have been earlier. At the time my wife sold her house, Zillow’s estimated price of my condo was $484,000—$104,000 more than I received. I don’t really know why I was in such a rush to sell. Maybe it had something to do with the pandemic, my mother’s recent death, my sister and brother-in-law moving out of state, or the stress of renovating our new house. It was an emotional time for me, and I was probably searching for some stability in my life. What I’ve learned—both from Jonathan and from being married—is that good financial decisions usually come from patience, not urgency. When I feel anxious or pressured to act, I’m more likely to make a mistake. When I slow down, think things through, and listen—especially to my wife—the outcome is usually better. Managing money well isn’t about always making the right move. It’s about avoiding the wrong ones—and knowing when to wait.  Dennis Friedman retired from Boeing Satellite Systems after a 30-year career in manufacturing. Born in Ohio, Dennis is a California transplant with a bachelor’s degree in history and an MBA. A self-described “humble investor,” he likes reading historical novels and about personal finance. Follow Dennis on X @DMFrie and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Why I Own Gold Bars

"I’d rather have food and clean water to survive. I’m not not sure who would be around to buy my gold in scenario level 3."
- Nick Politakis
Read more »

Once Burned, Twice Shy

"Thanks for the article, Howard. You're an investor with a long memory, which I understand is somewhat rare."
- Edmund Marsh
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Always an investor?

"At 62 years of age, working part time and my wife fully retired age 57 we are still re-investing in stocks and bonds. We will be looking to do some Roth conversions over the next few years. I could see a scenario where future withdrawals from IRA's which are not earmarked for spending or gifting would be reinvested in taxable accounts and utilize tax efficient ETFs, municipal bonds etc."
- Grant Clifford
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Opinions Wanted: Please Reply Freely (I’m used to being called an idiot)

"There is no price tag(s) when it comes to family experiences and enjoyment with each other. I have also floated the idea with our family of 9 for an overseas trip maybe during Christmas. The memories you will have and shared are simply priceless. GO FOR IT as a gift of love and not a loan. If they want to repay that will be fine."
- achnk53
Read more »

No, it is not a scam

"Sorry this is wrong, i misread the international aspect of question."
- R Quinn
Read more »

What, Me Worry?

"Of the two, inflation is by far the more troublesome. As you note, volatility is largely temporary — it comes and goes. Inflation, by contrast, is relentless and persistent. Which brings us to what might be finance's best-kept joke: we need volatility precisely to compensate for inflation. A classic chicken-and-egg situation."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

The Anatomy of a Threshold Rebalance: April 2025

"I could say I got lucky, but that would involve a conscious choice, the magic of a policy statement is it's blind. Whether TACO was a Mexican dish or a market thesis on that day was entirely irrelevant to the trigger being pulled. My policy statement had never heard of TACO — and unlike certain world leaders, it doesn't chicken out either. It just counts to 15 and reaches for the mouse."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Forget the 4% rule.

"I suspect RMD requirements influence this. The data pesented also suggests that retirees can afford a social security "haircut", e.g they are currently. spending 50% or less of their annual withdrawal. The data underscores some published at Morningstar which indicates that many retirees could withdraw, and spend, more than they actually do. I don't know how typical we are, but we barely tap my annual RMD. G is not yet required to take this from her accounts. My projections indicate we could spend about double each year. Because of my illness it is very unlikely I'll be alive in 5 years, so running out of money isn't an issue. That's better than the alternative. . I'll probably be on dialysis "soon". I've told G to party and travel extensively after my demise. Currently my medical leash requires i be near a medical facility. However, we plan on leaving AZ for the summer and head to the lake in Michigan."
- normr60189
Read more »

Sector Fund by Stealth

I'VE RECENTLY MADE the most significant change to my own portfolio in thirty five years. For the first time I've moved away from pure market-cap investing, tilting meaningfully toward Europe and Southeast Asia and bringing my US technology concentration down to around fifteen percent. I'm retired. I don't need to chase the outperformance that concentration might deliver, and I don't need the potential volatility that comes with it. This is a personal position rather than any kind of recommendation; it's nothing more than a risk management decision made at a point in life where I simply don't need the risk. What prompted it was a growing discomfort with something I suspect many everyday investors haven't fully reckoned with: the S&P 500 is no longer quite the animal it once was. A broad market index fund casts a wide net across the economy, and the S&P 500, which tracks the 500 largest US businesses by market value, has long been held up as the sensible default: low cost, well diversified, a bet on the whole rather than any one part of it. A sector fund works differently; it makes a deliberate, concentrated bet on a specific industry. If you believe technology is going to outperform the market as a whole, it gives you the ability to concentrate your capital into exactly the sector your research or gut instinct suspects is going to be the place to be and let it run. The theory behind each is straightforward enough. A broad market fund captures a larger slice of the investment universe and is generally considered the lower-risk path. A sector fund comes with a well-understood trade-off: higher potential returns in good times, sharper drawdowns when sentiment turns. Investors who consciously choose a technology sector fund know what they're signing up for. The risk profile is understood, accepted, and priced into the decision. The problem is that the line between these two things has become a bit fuzzy, and most everyday investors haven't noticed. A handful of technology and technology-related companies (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet) have grown so dominant in their market valuations that they now represent a disproportionate share of the entire index. During the last year, the top ten holdings have accounted for roughly a third of the total weight of all 500 companies. The mechanism behind this is simply how the index works. The S&P 500 is market-cap weighted, meaning the bigger the company, the bigger its slice of the pie. As technology companies scaled their dominance through the 2010s and into the 2020s, their weight within the index ballooned accordingly. The index didn't change its rules; the market just rewarded one particular group of companies so heavily that they came to dominate the scoreboard. This means the investor who bought the S&P 500 believing they were spreading risk broadly across the American economy (energy, healthcare, financials, industrials, consumer staples) owns something that looks quite different to the story they were sold. You buy five hundred companies and a third of your money lands in ten stocks, most of them operating in the same broad technological ecosystem. That is a concentration risk, whether it is labelled as one or not. It's a sector fund “light”, acquired by stealth through the natural mechanics of market-cap weighting. The issue is that millions of everyday investors are carrying a version of that same risk without necessarily knowing it. Although I've used the S&P 500 as an example here, it isn't alone. Most broad-based indexes including developed world trackers will exhibit the same characteristics to varying degrees, because the same companies sit near the top of those indexes too. The MSCI World, often marketed as the global diversifier, allocates somewhere in the region of seventy percent to US equities, and within that, the familiar names reappear. You can cross borders on paper without ever really leaving the room. None of this is an argument against the S&P 500. The concentration reflects real, earned dominance; these companies grew to the top of the index because they genuinely deserved to. And whether my reallocation turns out to be the right call is genuinely unknowable. The concentrated index could continue to outperform for another decade and I'll have left returns on the table, a real possibility I've made my peace with. The point isn't that I've found the correct answer. The point is that I had the information to make a considered choice, weighed it against my own circumstances, and acted accordingly. That's all any investor can do. The uncomfortable truth is that a great many people haven't been given the chance to do the same. They're holding a product that has quietly changed its character, and nobody has thought to mention it. Better information doesn't guarantee better decisions, but it at least puts the decision where it belongs: with the person whose money it is. ___ Mark Crothers is a retired small business owner from the UK with a keen interest in personal finance and simple living. Married to his high school sweetheart, with daughters and grandchildren, he knows the importance of building a secure financial future. With an aversion to social media, he prefers to spend his time on his main passions: reading, scratch cooking, racket sports, and hiking.
Read more »

Value of Waiting

I WAS THINKING ABOUT Jonathan the other day on my morning walk, which happens more often than you might think. It’s hard not to think about him when you have HumbleDollar coasters in your living room and a HumbleDollar shopping bag in your car that you use for groceries. My wife confiscated the HumbleDollar cup I had been using for my morning tea, and it now has a new home in our bathroom holding her toothbrush and toothpaste. There’s even an apron somewhere in the house that Jonathan once sent to all the writers. Ever since I started writing for HumbleDollar in 2017, Jonathan has influenced my retirement. I now own the Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund (symbol: VT) in my investment portfolio because of his recommendation. He liked it for its “broad global diversification in one low-cost fund that covers virtually all publicly traded companies worldwide.” It struck me as a good way to simplify our holdings. I didn’t just borrow some of Jonathan’s investment ideas; I also borrowed some of his words he used when editing my articles. I began peppering my writing with words like fret, upshot, and folks. He once told me, “While your grammar is occasionally a bit dodgy, you have a great ear for language.” I was too embarrassed to ask him what he meant by a “great ear for language.” When I retired, I never imagined that writing for HumbleDollar would become such a big part of my retirement, and I’m grateful to Jonathan for that. I also didn’t think my retirement would be so fluid. I pictured something far more stable: remaining single, living in a one-bedroom condo, and fending for myself. My life now is different. I’m married and live in a three-bedroom home in another city. One of the biggest changes, however, has nothing to do with geography. It has to do with money—specifically, how financial decisions change when there are two people instead of one. I learned that lesson early in our marriage. We got married in August 2020. That December, I woke up one morning and saw blood in my urine. I went to an urologist who ran a series of tests, but it took about a month to determine the cause.   During that time, I decided to consolidate our remaining investment holdings to make things easier for Rachel to manage in case something happened to me. Most of our money was already at Vanguard, except for a 401(k) from my former employer that was invested in a stable value fund. It still held a significant balance. Without much hesitation, I moved it into a bond fund at Vanguard. Not too long afterward, the bond market nosedived. The fund performed poorly—especially compared to the stable value fund the money had been in. The upshot: I panicked—and paid for it. It wasn’t a good time to make a financial decision while I was under stress. Some of the worst money moves happen when emotions are running high—selling stocks at the bottom of a bear market or rushing to act after an unexpected windfall. More often than not, it’s better to wait until you’re clearheaded before making a decision. At the time, I was also fretting about whether Rachel would qualify for my Social Security benefit, which is much larger than hers. You have to be married for at least nine months. I found myself counting off the days. Another financial decision became more complicated simply because we were now a couple: what to do with the three properties we owned—my condo, Rachel’s house, and the house I had inherited. Neither of us wanted to be landlords at this stage of our lives. We were excited about getting married and starting a new life together. I decided to sell my condo during the pandemic, which wasn’t easy. Rather than wait, I accepted an offer of $380,000—$43,000 below the asking price. Rachel decided to wait and rent out her house for two years. She didn’t get caught up in the excitement or rush into selling. As it turned out, that patience paid off. When the for-sale sign finally went up, I would stop by the house to water the yard and rake the falling leaves. One day, a real estate agent and his client were there looking at the property. They kept asking me whether the price listed on the brochure was correct. Rachel’s agent had intentionally priced the house at the lower end of the range in hopes of creating a bidding war. I told them they would have to talk to my wife and her agent because it wasn’t my house. The agent asked how long we had been married. When I told him two years, he nodded and said, “I get it. She wanted to wait until she was sure about the marriage before selling the house.” Rachel laughed when I told her what he said. She wasn’t waiting to see if the marriage would work. She waited because selling a house is a major financial decision, and she didn’t see any reason to rush it. Two years later, the timing turned out to be just right. The market had improved and the strategy worked exactly as planned. There were multiple offers, and the final sale price was well above what it would have been earlier. At the time my wife sold her house, Zillow’s estimated price of my condo was $484,000—$104,000 more than I received. I don’t really know why I was in such a rush to sell. Maybe it had something to do with the pandemic, my mother’s recent death, my sister and brother-in-law moving out of state, or the stress of renovating our new house. It was an emotional time for me, and I was probably searching for some stability in my life. What I’ve learned—both from Jonathan and from being married—is that good financial decisions usually come from patience, not urgency. When I feel anxious or pressured to act, I’m more likely to make a mistake. When I slow down, think things through, and listen—especially to my wife—the outcome is usually better. Managing money well isn’t about always making the right move. It’s about avoiding the wrong ones—and knowing when to wait.  Dennis Friedman retired from Boeing Satellite Systems after a 30-year career in manufacturing. Born in Ohio, Dennis is a California transplant with a bachelor’s degree in history and an MBA. A self-described “humble investor,” he likes reading historical novels and about personal finance. Follow Dennis on X @DMFrie and check out his earlier articles.
Read more »

Why I Own Gold Bars

"I’d rather have food and clean water to survive. I’m not not sure who would be around to buy my gold in scenario level 3."
- Nick Politakis
Read more »

Free Newsletter

Get Educated

Manifesto

NO. 69: WE CAN’T control whether stocks rise or fall, but we can ensure we pocket whatever the market delivers—by diversifying broadly, holding down investment costs and minimizing taxes.

Truths

NO. 35: WHENEVER you buy or sell a stock or bond, somebody’s on the other side of the trade—and she’s likely far better informed. The financial markets attract some of the brightest minds: They’re the investors you’re trying to outwit whenever you make a change to your portfolio. Do you know more than they do—or do they know something you don’t?

humans

NO. 21: IF WE'VE been good savers, it’s hard to become happy spenders. The key to building wealth is no great secret: We need to be committed savers. Yet saving can become too good a habit, one that folks struggle to shake once they retire. Remember, we save money not for the sake of saving money, but so we—or our heirs—can later spend.

think

COMPOUNDING. Each year, we earn returns not only on our original investment, but also on gains clocked in earlier years that we reinvested. Let’s say we started with $10,000 and made 7% a year. Without compounding, we’d earn $700 a year, leaving us with $24,000 after 20 years. But thanks to compounding, the final sum is much larger: $38,697.

College-bound kids?

Manifesto

NO. 69: WE CAN’T control whether stocks rise or fall, but we can ensure we pocket whatever the market delivers—by diversifying broadly, holding down investment costs and minimizing taxes.

Spotlight: Life Events

Padding the Mattress

CAN YOU EVER HAVE enough? Yes, I’m talking about money.
But I’m not some gazillionaire burning up billions on a rocket to space. I’m talking about emergency savings for ordinary people. A cash stash. Rainy-day funds. Mattress money.
I thought I had enough a few months ago, but then life happened. Dental work. A blown clutch. More support for my son, who has a great job offer but won’t start work until later this year.

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Case Closed

I HAVE ALWAYS BEEN a meticulous record keeper. As a child, my 4-H record book often won top honors at the county fair. As an adult, my career as a laboratory manager requires me to keep detailed records about budgets, lab prep and equipment maintenance. All that recordkeeping has bled over into my personal life as well. I have drawers full of neatly-labeled file folders filled with receipts, tax returns and other personal documents.

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Eyeing the End

Five months ago, I was loath to take any sort of medication. Today, I have a pillbox.
In fact, the way things are going, I fear I’ll soon be declared a superfund site by the Environmental Protection Agency. A seemingly endless stream of chemicals pours into my body, most notably during my every-three-week chemo and immunotherapy sessions. What about the rest of the time? Depending on the day, I might down three or four pills in the morning and one or two in the afternoon.

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The Aftermath

AFTER LEAVING THE hospital, our family met up at a favorite neighborhood restaurant.
“What’s next?” the teenagers asked.
“Now begins the parade of covered dishes,” I answered.
For the month after my husband’s death, when preparing food hardly seemed possible, friends and neighbors made sure our refrigerator and freezer bulged. The kids experienced a variety of main meals, side dishes and desserts. There was enough for us and our many helpers, and we experimented with time and labor-saving meal shortcuts.

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Finding Hope

I GOT MARRIED IN 1980 at age 22. After 29 years of marriage, my wife and I went through a contentious divorce in 2009 and 2010. We’d grown apart and, during our last few years of marriage, discussed parting ways.
I moved out of our marital home of 16 years into an apartment. It was strange to be living by myself again. I was 51 at the time.
While adjusting to my new reality,

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Spotlight: Quinn

For Your Own Good

IF WE WON’T SAVE for the future, should somebody do it for us? Everyone knows Americans don’t save; last year, we managed a miserable 3.4% of personal disposable income. That’s not going to cut it for either financial emergencies or retirement. We can’t even get many workers to save sufficiently to obtain an employer match in their 401(k) plan. That’s free money left on the table. According to separate calculations by Alight Solutions and Fidelity Investments, one out of five workers don’t invest enough to get their employer’s full matching contribution. What can they be thinking? How are they spending? My view: Except for those living in poverty, everyone can afford to save. What they can’t afford is a lot of their spending. With the problem well-recognized and no solution in sight, perhaps it’s time to go in another direction—a controversial one, I’ll admit. Should we force more savings and, in the process, ensure that all Americans have a better stream of retirement income? One vehicle that’ll do that—here’s the controversial part—is Social Security. First, we need to get our act together and ensure the current program remains solvent. “To illustrate the magnitude of the 75-year actuarial deficit, consider that for the... Trust Funds to remain fully solvent throughout the 75-year projection period… revenues would have to increase by an amount equivalent to an immediate and permanent payroll tax rate increase of 2.76 percentage points to 15.16 percent.” That’s from the 2017 Social Security Trustees Report. The current rate is 12.4%. This shortfall can be fixed in many ways, but let’s take a leap of faith and assume it is indeed fixed. Next, we turn to increasing retirement income. If we need 15.16% of payroll to keep what we have, we need something more for additional benefits. Let’s say we add another 3% for employers and 3% for workers, for a total Social Security payroll tax of around 21%. In theory, that could boost the ultimate benefit by perhaps 40%. Even if employers lowered 401(k) matches as a result, many workers would be ahead of the game. And as long as we’re in the realm of the controversial, let’s invest that new money in the stock market, rather than Treasury bonds paying barely 3%, as is now the case. Yikes, partial privatization. None of this precludes the need for individual savings, but it does ensure every worker saves something. It also boosts the retirement incomes for those less responsible. Heck, maybe that 3% should be 5%. These concepts are not new. But every time they or similar ones are raised, there’s political controversy and nothing happens. Every government action to date to boost saving for retirement has met with mediocre success, in large because of individual behavior. Remember myRA? Like it or not, right or wrong, we can’t cut Social Security unless we somehow transform the average American’s often-irresponsible financial behavior. What to do? My contention: If people can’t fix their own financial future—and it seems many can’t—perhaps we, as a society, need to fix the problem for them, by expanding Social Security and making everybody contribute more. Richard Quinn blogs at QuinnsCommentary.com. Before retiring in 2010, Dick was a compensation and benefits executive. His previous article was Choosing Badly. [xyz-ihs snippet="Donate"]
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How did it all work for us? Why not now?

This afternoon I was listening to the economic plan of a presidential candidate. It included $6,000 for a new baby, more money for child care, money toward buying a home and more. Absent was any reference to deficits or debt. In any case, I thought back to our life raising four children on one income and in the early years on a glorified clerks salary.  I do recall sky high inflation in the 80s and no gas in the 70s I don’t recall any subsidies or tax credits or rebates. No assistance buying our first very modest starter home with a 9-1/2% mortgage and required 10% down payment. No child care payments - that was Connie. Somehow we made it all work. We didn’t live on credit. What is so different about 2024? What didn’t we have or do that is considered a necessity today? How did we get by on one income when today two incomes seem inadequate?
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Should Social Security benefits be income tax free?

It would be nice, quite a windfall. However, we didn’t pay for our benefits. In the aggregate, beneficiaries pay for about 15% of all benefits received, hence maximum 85% of benefits being taxable. I checked my records a found that within six years of starting, I collected benefits (including spousal benefit) equal to all the taxes I and employers paid since 1959.  The law says the benefits are taxable income, but given the standard deduction, a lower income retiree may pay very little or no actual taxes on the benefits received.  The income taxes paid go to the Social Security and Medicare A trusts, not general revenue. Both trusts are underfunded and being depleted in a few years. How do the programs make up the lost tax revenue?  We have yet to hear of a plan to make either Social Security or Medicare sustainable. So, is it fair, prudent or necessary to make Social Security benefits income tax free? I have asked many people and overwhelmingly the answer is yes, benefits should be tax free - while they also demonstrated a total lack of information or understanding of the issue, with many still believing Congress stole the trust funds or they could have done better investing on their own without paying SS payroll taxes. Oh my. 😱
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If I Go First

I MARRIED CONNIE because she’s four years older than me. That meant our life expectancies would be similar and hence a survivor annuity would be less expensive. I am, of course, joking. Sort of. Providing for Connie, should I be the first to go, is among my top financial priorities. During my working years, I received far too many calls from new widows who had just learned their husband’s pension stopped when their husband died. Apparently, the husbands hadn’t bothered to mention this. With traditional pension plans now relatively rare, at least among private sector workers, the days of worrying about a traditional survivor pension are all but over. Still, ensuring a surviving spouse has adequate income remains a crucial issue—and yet it’s one I rarely see discussed on the various blogs and Facebook groups I follow. There’s a handful of ways to provide for a surviving spouse: Social Security survivor benefits A defined benefit pension with a survivor annuity An immediate annuity with guaranteed dual-life payments Life insurance Naming the spouse as beneficiary of 401(k) plans and IRAs Leaving behind taxable-account investments and savings My strategy draws on the above ideas. When I die, Connie’s Social Security spousal benefit will disappear and be replaced with double the amount, thanks to the survivor benefit that’s equal to my current monthly Social Security amount. Decades ago, we both naively purchased—or, more accurately, were sold—tax-deferred variable annuities. We stopped adding new money to these accounts many years ago, but their value continues to grow, and Connie will have that pool of savings available to her. I have two pensions. Both are so-called joint-and-survivor. Assuming I die first, Connie will continue to receive monthly payments equal to 50% of one pension and 75% of the other. She would also receive payouts from two life insurance policies. During my working years, I invested in group variable universal life insurance. Over the years, the investment fund accumulated and, when I retired, I converted to a paid-up policy. I also have employer-group insurance, for which I continue to pay a monthly premium. The payout on these two policies should provide Connie with about two years of living expenses. My wife, of course, is the named beneficiary on my rollover IRA. Meanwhile, our taxable investments are jointly owned, and are structured to generate regular income. That includes taxable-bond interest, tax-free interest from municipal bonds, and dividends on two stocks. Connie could dip into our portfolio to pay living expenses, but I’m hoping the portfolio stays intact for our children and grandchildren. How Connie will handle our portfolio concerns me—up until now she’s shown no interest in investing. In a letter of last instruction, I’ve explained where to go for assistance.
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Quinn ponders the minimum wage, a living wage and the possible consequences of changes for all

Minimum wage is a touchy, often political, subject and it is often misunderstood. I suspect not many HD readers are concerned with the minimum wage. On the other hand, I see implications of changing and not changing it.  Few workers actually earn the federal minimum wage. The percentage of hourly paid workers earning the prevailing federal minimum wage or less was 1.1 percent in 2023. Minimum wage workers tend to be young, single, work part-time, and have an high school or less education. Details are available from the Bureau of Labor. Nearly 80% of minimum wage workers are employed in service occupations, mostly in food preparation and serving-related jobs. Interestingly, many also receive tip income not counted in hourly pay.  In large corporations such as Walmart, Costco, Verizon, GM, nobody earns the minimum wage.  Most states have a minimum wage requirement above the federal level. Raising the federal minimum wage would have minimal overall impact on American workers.  When I was 14 I earned below the minimum wage working for my town. When I was 18 I earned the minimum wage in my first job, but never again and like you I suspect trying to live on $7.25 or even $15.00 an hour would present a serious challenge. On the other hand, many retirees do so today. The annual equivalent of much talked about $15.00 and hour is $31,200 using the standard work year of 2080 hours. Household income could be double.  Thirty states have a minimum wage greater than the federal minimum, 13 states follow federal law and 7 have no minimum wage law effectively following federal law. Most of the states without a law are in the south.  The minimum wage itself is not the primary issue, rather it is what that income may buy. In other words, income relative to the cost of living in a state. For example, Alabama has a minimum wage of $7.25 and the average annual gap in the cost of living is estimated at $23,719. However, in California with a minimum age of $16.00, the gap is $52,737. The higher minimum wage may be less of a living wage.   There is somewhat of a debate as to whether a higher minimum wage contributes to a higher cost of living. However, to the extent businesses can pass along the added expense in prices and higher wages drive more demand for goods and services, a higher minimum likely does increase the cost of living. Could this mean that legally rather than economically driven higher wages can be counterproductive? Raising the minimum wage has often overlooked implications - pay compression for one. Simply put, if a minimum wage goes from $7.25 to say $15.00, every worker earning $15.00 or above will demand higher pay. In theory, at least a near doubling of pay to maintain parity with the jobs previously paid $7.25. In addition, raising any wage carries added costs for a business such as payroll taxes, certain state employment taxes and in some cases employee benefit costs.  How to determine fair pay is an ongoing debate and no matter the direction there are consequences for everyone.
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Jonathan, help

We need words of wisdom dealing with the stock markets.
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