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Spending

A Wedding Too Far

"Sent you a document today (Sunday). Congratulations again."
- Martin McCue
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Investing

Flipping the Script on Asset Allocation?

"I own BSV also. Curious… Are you investing your proceeds from BSV into VGSH or some other fixed income investment?"
- Andy Morrison
Read more »

Spending

Little luxuries

"Almost all of our Amazon purchases are through Subscribe & Save. We get delivery once a month and save up to 15% on top of the 5% for the credit card. Even if you only buy an item once, sometimes you can subscribe and get a discount for quick delivery, and then cancel the subscription."
- Randy Dobkin
Read more »

Estate Plan

Financial Choices

FOR MUCH OF THE seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, European monarchs used a financial instrument known as a tontine to help finance their governments.  Tontines were first developed in the 1650s by an Italian government worker named Lorenzo Tonti and were similar to annuities: In exchange for a single, lump-sum purchase, tontines offered guaranteed payments for life. But tontines also offered some unique features. Unlike an annuity, where payments end with the death of the owner, tontine holders had the option of tying the payments to another person. A parent, for example, could name their son or daughter on a tontine, thus extending the payments over a much longer period. In the 1750s, however, a Swiss banker named Jacob Beaumont had a realization: While the owners of tontines typically named their children, a quirk in the rules permitted a tontine owner to name any individual. To Beaumont, this presented an opportunity: Why not name the youngest possible person, thus extending the stream of payments even further?  In his home town of Geneva, Beaumont identified ideal candidates for this role: young children who came from well-heeled backgrounds and were thus likely to have access to good healthcare. He then began loading up on tontines tied to the very long life expectancies of these children. The strategy worked exactly as expected and delivered Beaumont enormous profits. Other investors then piled in, mimicking Beaumont’s strategy, which, for a time, offered a virtually no-lose opportunity for profit. This went on until the French government, in frustration, discontinued its tontine program. When it comes to financial decisions, it’s the rare situation that’s as obvious as the one that Beaumont identified. Instead, most financial decisions entail some amount of uncertainty and are subject to judgment. Some choices, though, are closer than others to being obvious decisions. Here are six that I see frequently. 
  1. Certain Social Security claiming decisions are without question. For example, if you’re married and plan to claim the spousal benefit, it’s important to know that this benefit hits a maximum at full retirement age (FRA), which is now age 67 for most people. Unlike workers’ own benefits, which can continue to increase all the way to age 70, spousal benefits are subject to a different rule, so there’s no benefit for anyone to wait beyond FRA.
  2. You may be familiar with umbrella insurance. This provides additional liability coverage on top of auto and homeowner’s (or renter’s) insurance. Because it covers low-likelihood situations, such as someone slipping and falling on your front walk, umbrella coverage is extremely cost effective—sometimes as low as a few hundred dollars per year. I see it as an obvious benefit because the situations it covers, however unlikely, are also the ones that could be the most expensive. And because it would be the insurance company that would face exposure, insurers provide legal defense, at their expense, if there is ever a claim. How much coverage should you have? I generally recommend between $1 million and $5 million, but the key point is that almost any coverage is better than none. 
  3. In choosing an asset allocation for your portfolio, I think it’s best to avoid rules of thumb, because everyone is different. At the same time, a recommendation that I see as universal is to avoid extremes. I wouldn’t get too close to 100% bonds because of the corrosive impact of inflation. And I don’t like getting too close to 100% stocks because of the volatility and risk of loss. That’s always been my view, but recent research can help investors narrow the range further. William Bengen, creator of the “4% rule,” published a book last year in which, for the first time, he looked at the question of portfolio longevity through the lens of asset allocation. What he found was that portfolios with stock allocations between 45% and 75% offered the highest sustainable withdrawal rates over multiple decades.
  1. If you’ve recently retired, you may be considering a Roth conversion, whereby you’d move dollars from your pre-tax IRA to a Roth IRA. This is a popular strategy, but the catch is that a tax must be paid when a conversion is completed, and your tax bracket can increase as you convert more. Convert too much, and you can negate the benefit of a conversion. For that reason, it isn’t always obvious whether a conversion is advisable. There is one situation, though, where a conversion offers an almost obvious benefit: If your income, even with a conversion, would be in one of the two lowest tax brackets (10% or 12%), then it’s unlikely you’d ever find yourself in a lower bracket than that in the future. In that case, especially because of special deductions provided by the new tax rules, I’d view it as an almost obvious choice to proceed with a conversion up to the top of the 12% bracket.
  1. Looking to make charitable gifts? Because the standard deduction is now so high, fewer taxpayers are able to itemize deductions, and that can limit the tax benefit of donations. But there’s still a way to gain a tax benefit: If you have appreciated stocks in a taxable account, you can donate them to a donor-advised fund. That would allow you to sidestep the capital gains tax that would otherwise be due if you sold those stocks. Many donor-advised funds have no minimums, making this an easy choice, in my view.
  2. If you believe your estate will top the estate tax threshold (about $15 million per person at the federal level, but much lower in certain states), then I would be sure to use the annual exclusion (currently $19,000 per donor and per recipient) to make incremental gifts to your heirs. That's because this annual exclusion is in addition to the lifetime exclusion and doesn’t carry over from year to year.
Note that these gifts don't have to be made in cash if the recipients aren't yet in a position to receive them. As alternatives, you could make contributions to a 529 account or to a trust for their benefit, and these contributions would count toward the annual exclusion. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.  
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From HumbleDollar Founder Jonathan Clements

Lists

Why HumbleDollar?

IN OUR 20s, WE TEND to be a confident lot: We figure we know what we want from our life, that the goal is…
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Behavior

The Ultimate Tail Risk

"I think most folks think AI is or will become a sentient bogeyman that will rule over us. I think of AI in terms of bringing quantities of compute power to a problem. We have been quietly raising the bar on how much that is and lowering the bar on what problems can be addressed. The compute power is sifting through large data sets in a timely fashion using logic that can grow based on what was learned previously. So, the real issues are how reliable is the data and what logic choices have been used to provide an answer. More transparency in these two areas will lessen our fears going forward. We cannot stop the rise of compute power and we cannot stop more and more applications to solving our issues."
- Kurt Yokum
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Family

The Jonathan I Found: Through Others’ Eyes

WHEN MY YOUNGER brother Jonathan died, I thought I knew who he was. After all, we had shared a childhood in England, years together at boarding school, family adventures in Bangladesh, and more than six decades as brothers. I knew the journalist the world admired, the devoted husband and father, and the man whose words quietly helped millions of readers live richer lives, not simply financially, but personally as well. I was wrong. Over the past several months, I've been searching for Jonathan's beginnings. I thought I was looking for old articles, forgotten photographs and the names of people who had influenced his career. Instead, something unexpected happened. Former classmates, editors, colleagues, friends and readers began sharing their own Jonathan. One remembered a trusted reporter who never misrepresented his intentions. Another remembered a laugh that never disappeared, even in the face of death. His children remembered a father whose greatest gift wasn't advice, but confidence. Piece by piece, they gave me back my brother. Not a different Jonathan. A fuller one. There was a Jonathan his readers and sources knew that I had never fully appreciated. He wasn't afraid to ask difficult questions, but he asked them honestly, respectfully and never with an agenda. Dina Isola, who dealt with Jonathan professionally for many years, remembered that his reputation for fairness and honesty meant people trusted him enough to agree to interviews even when the subject matter was difficult. Financial adviser Dan Danford remembered another quality. Jonathan held strong opinions, but he was never condescending or antagonistic toward those who saw things differently. Dan described him as open to genuine discussion, willing to listen as well as challenge. Bill Blase, a longtime media relations executive who worked with Jonathan, saw yet another side of that same integrity: how seriously Jonathan took his responsibility to readers. Bill remembered him as meticulous about every word, statistic and investment he described. Jonathan once explained why: "We're talking about real money here. So, the challenge is on getting it right, the first time. Not the second. This is not Monopoly." Jason Zweig, who became Jonathan's friend in 1987, distilled all of this into a sentence I'll never forget: "What you read is who he was." People trusted Jonathan because he was honest. They felt they knew him because he shared something of himself in every article he wrote. Jonathan wrote about personal finance, but his work was never just about money. It was about life, the choices we make and the experiences that ultimately matter most. Bill Bernstein captured that beautifully when he said Jonathan wrote about "things that were far beyond the beat of a normal finance writer." Perhaps Bill's most revealing observation was also his shortest: "This man knows my life." I suspect millions of readers felt exactly the same, not because Jonathan knew their individual circumstances, but because he understood something deeper about the hopes, fears and uncertainties we all share. As I continued listening, I realized there was still more of Jonathan to discover. Through his children, Hannah and Henry, I met perhaps the most important Jonathan of all. They didn't remember a celebrated journalist or one of the world's most respected financial writers. They remembered their dad. Hannah recalled telling Jonathan how strong he had been throughout his illness. His response surprised her: "You would be the same if you were in my situation." That simple reply revealed something profound. Jonathan seemed to see strength and confidence in other people long before they saw it in themselves. She also remembered her first day of kindergarten. Jonathan bent down and whispered, "We'll pay for the best college you can get into, so go work hard." It still makes me smile. It was vintage Jonathan: Encouraging, optimistic and quietly expressing his confidence in her future. Henry's memories were different. He remembered cups of tea, conversations and simply spending time together. They were ordinary moments that, taken together, painted the picture of an extraordinary father. Listening to both of them, I began to understand something I had never fully appreciated. Jonathan's greatest legacy isn't found only in the books he wrote or the articles he published. It lives on in the confidence he gave his children, the kindness they extend to others and the values they now carry forward. Elaine knew another side of Jonathan, the husband who could make her laugh from the moment she came downstairs in the morning until the last conversation before they fell asleep. She remembered that, despite the wonderful vacations and fine restaurants they enjoyed, Jonathan often said he was happiest during quiet Sundays at home, sharing coffee and croissants, watching the squirrels and birds in the garden, and simply knowing the other was there. Even his financial instincts followed them home and on vacation. Whenever Elaine contemplated a purchase, Jonathan would ask, “Do you really need that?” or, when traveling, “Do you have room in your suitcase for that?” Sometimes she listened and sometimes she didn’t. But even now, she says, his voice still guides her when she’s tempted to buy something. Most importantly, Elaine remembered Jonathan as a man of his word. When he said something, he meant it. He showed his love not through grand gestures, but through everyday acts of kindness and devotion. During his final year, as he quietly made sure Elaine and his children would be financially secure, she came to see those preparations for a future he knew he wouldn’t share as one of his greatest demonstrations of how much he loved them. Then there was Jonathan's humor. Cancer didn't take that from him. If anything, it sharpened it. Even as his world grew smaller, his laughter never did. Jason Zweig remembered that Jonathan "laughed at death the same way he had laughed at everything else, with that unquenchable cackle of his." Bill Bernstein saw the same remarkable spirit, recalling, "I never saw anyone who could laugh in the face of death the way he did." Jonathan himself joked that he "hadn't realized what a marvelous book marketing strategy a terminal diagnosis could be." Those stories weren't simply amusing. They revealed a man who refused to let illness decide who he would be. Like many readers, I assumed Jonathan started HumbleDollar as a retirement hobby, a way to stay connected to writing after leaving The Wall Street Journal. I couldn't have been more mistaken. HumbleDollar became another expression of the person he had always been. Jonathan devoted countless hours to writing, answering emails, interviewing readers, encouraging new writers and quietly building a community. Yet none of it ever seemed like an obligation. He genuinely enjoyed the conversations and the opportunity to help others. What struck me most wasn't the number of hours he worked, but how willingly he gave away his time. Whether responding to an email from a first-time reader or interviewing someone for an article, he made people feel they mattered. One reader told me Jonathan always replied with a handwritten thank you note after receiving a donation. Others remembered thoughtful emails, encouraging conversations and carefully edited articles that made them better writers. Individually, those acts seem small. Together, they tell us exactly who Jonathan was. The more I listened, the more I realized that Jonathan never forgot the people who had opened doors for him early in his career. Mrs. Dolezal helped him find his first reporting job. Leslie Leven patiently taught him the craft of journalism. Years later, Jonathan quietly became that person for countless others. I don't think he mentored people simply because he was generous. I think he did it because he remembered. In the weeks after Jonathan's death, I thought I was collecting stories. I wasn't. I was collecting pieces of a man. His readers showed me his integrity. His friends showed me his humanity. His children showed me his heart. His colleagues showed me his generosity. No one person held the whole picture. Not even me. But together they did. When Jonathan died, I thought I had lost the brother I knew. Instead, over the weeks that followed, I found myself discovering him all over again. The Jonathan I found wasn't different from the brother I had always loved. Through the memories of everyone whose life he had touched, I simply came to know him more completely.   After spending more than two decades building a successful landscaping business with his twin brother Nicholas, Andrew Clements retired in 2015 with a new appreciation for what matters most. Born in England, his essays draw on a life that has included growing up in England and Bangladesh, entrepreneurship, caregiving, family loss and travel. A regular HumbleDollar contributor, he enjoys tellingstories that remind readers life’s richest lessons often have little to do with money. Andrew is the older brother of HumbleDollar founder Jonathan Clements, whose life and legacy have inspired some of his most personal writing. He lives in Florida with his husband, Joey.
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Spending

When $2000 Isn’t Worth the Hassle

"Becoming a landlord 30 years ago, I wish I would’ve kept track through the years of all the people I gave free housing too. The way I see it is that God didn’t hold me accountable for what I did wrong. So who am I take people to court and squeeze every penny out of them? It’s legal and fair, but I let it go. It’s part of helping others. Admittedly in your case you’re helping a nameless face giant Corporation, but not really. Those are people there too and it’s owned by people."
- S Phillips
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Houses

My Favorite Room

"If you think political discussions are spirited, just for fun try logging on to sites dealing with topics like "Vinyl versus CD or Streaming" or "Analog versus Digital". Lots of interesting technical and scientific data exist, but strongly held personal beliefs reign. My non-expert advice: Buy what you enjoy listening too, never mind what others say. I have zero musical talent, but I love listening to music, both live and recorded, and I know a little about the neuroscience of audio perception and basic acoustics. Dan Smith below mentions the important fact that the room will interact with the speakers. The late Siegfried Linkwitz's goal was to produce a home speaker system which worked with the room, not against it, to create a convincing sonic illusion that the recorded performers were in the room with you. For details, engineers and enthusiasts on this site might enjoy perusing: www.linkwitzlab.com I have his flagship system in my basement which is a very large space (about 16,400 cubic feet; they perform better in large rooms). If I'm busy with something on the main floor or am just too lazy to go downstairs, our far less expensive but convenient system is good enough. The brain is clever about enhancing and filling in when listening to less than state-of-the-art systems. And while my ears are 73 years old and I can't hear as well as I used to, I can quickly tell whether the reproduced sound approaches a level of realism."
- Jack Hannam
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Investing

Target Maturity Bond Funds

"Agreed. Vanguard 3,4and 5 year TMBF look compelling."
- Mike Wyant
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Taxes

Is a Roth conversion an optimal strategy in my situation?

"There are some situations and events when a IRS form 709 is required even when gifts are less than the annual exclusion amount. See the IRS 2025 709 instructions- Who Must File- In general. If you are a citizen or resident of the United States, you must file a gift tax return (whether or not any tax is ultimately due) in the following situations. • If you gave gifts to someone in 2025 totaling more than $19,000 (other than to your spouse), you must generally file Form 709. But see Transfers Not Subject to the Gift Tax and Gifts to Your Spouse, later, for more information on specific gifts that are not taxable. • Certain gifts, called future interests, are not subject to the $19,000 annual exclusion and you must file Form 709 even if the gift was under $19,000. See Annual Exclusion, later. • Spouses may not file a joint gift tax return. Each individual is responsible to file a Form 709. • You must file a gift tax return to split gifts with your spouse (regardless of their amount) as described in Part III Spouse’s Consent on Gifts to Third Parties, later. • If a gift is of community property, it is considered made one-half by each spouse. For example, a gift of $100,000 of community property is considered a gift of $50,000 made by each spouse, and each spouse must file a gift tax return. • Likewise, each spouse must file a gift tax return if they have made a gift of property held by them as joint tenants or tenants by the entirety. • Only individuals are required to file gift tax returns. If a trust, estate, partnership, or corporation makes a gift, the individual beneficiaries, partners, or stockholders are considered donors and may be liable for the gift and GST taxes. • The donor is responsible for paying the gift tax. However, if the donor does not pay the tax, the person receiving the gift may have to pay the tax. • If a donor dies before filing a return, the donor’s executor must file the return. Who does not need to file. If you meet all of the following requirements, you are not required to file Form 709. • You made no gifts during the year to your spouse. • You did not give more than $19,000 to any one donee. • All the gifts you made were of present interests. I would also note a few administrative headaches and considerations related to gifts and gift tax returns-
  1. Once you file a 709 using any part of your lifetime exclusion amount the information from that year is then incorporated into any future year form 709 filing.
  2. If you ever file a form 709 and upon death an estate form 706 is required or the personal representative (aka executor/executrix) of the estate decides to file an estate 706 then information from the last gift tax return form 706 will be needed to prepare estate form 706.
  3. In 2026 we each have a current estate maximum exclusion of $15 million less the amount of taxable lifetime gifts above the annual exclusion. For the surviving spouse to have the current unified (combined taxable gift and estate) maximum $30 million lifetime estate 706 exemption then neither spouse could have made any taxable lifetime gifts. Further, for the surviving spouse to have a total $30 million lifetime exemption (including the deceased spouse's $15 million) a timely estate return for the first to die spouse must be filed and executor must elect to transfer the deceased spousal unused exclusion (DSUE) amount to the surviving spouse, regardless of the size of the decedent’s gross estate. 
To avoid these issues most people strive to never make a taxable gift during life of a present interest gift above the annual gift exclusion amount that would require a filing of a federal gift tax return. Depending on where your domicile is you may also have state gift tax reporting obligations. If you as a surviving spouse expect your estate to be close to or above the current ($15M) exclusion then you may want to seek professional advice from someone with appropriate knowledge and experience in this area that will still be around when you are not. I hope this helps, Bill"
- William Perry
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Investing

Structuring Bonds

IT'S BEEN AN UNUSUAL week in the bond market, and not necessarily in a good way. This has many investors questioning the value of bonds, which is understandable. Bonds are supposed to be the “safe” side of a portfolio, but they’ve struggled in recent years. Arguably, the drama we’re seeing in the bond market today began more than 50 years ago. To put today’s situation in perspective, I’ll briefly summarize that long history. Then we can look at what steps you might take to better protect your portfolio from here. Back in the 1970s, as you’re probably aware, inflation rose above 10%. Policymakers struggled for years to bring it under control, but in the early 1980s a Fed chair named Paul Volcker finally succeeded. He accomplished that by raising the Fed’s benchmark rate to nearly 20%. With this step, Volcker succeeded in calming inflation, and that allowed the Fed to begin lowering rates, a gradual process that continued for most of the following 40 years. Because bond prices move inversely to interest rates, that entire stretch was extremely beneficial for bonds. As rates fell, bonds rose. Between 1980 and 2020, intermediate-term U.S. government bonds returned 7% per year, on average. That multi-decade run helped seal the reputation of bonds as an easy and reliable way to offset the risk of stocks. But then the other shoe dropped. Due to pandemic-related government spending and tangled supply chains, inflation began rising around 2021. Well aware of what the economy experienced in the 1970s, the Fed responded by raising rates aggressively. For a time, that appeared to bring inflation under control, and the government had even started to lower rates again last year. But then the war with Iran started. That caused energy prices to jump higher, and that, worryingly, has caused inflation to start creeping back up again. In response, the Fed this week was forced to take action, raising rates in an effort to contain inflation before it gains steam. Interest rates on long-term bonds are now at 20-year highs. And because bond prices move inversely to interest rates, bonds are having another difficult year. Total-bond market funds like Vanguard’s BND are now negative year-to-date. Where the bond market goes from here is anyone’s guess, but this history is important, in my view, because bonds are unlikely to see another long, positive stretch like the one investors enjoyed a generation ago. Instead, I believe investors need to be more cautious.  What steps might you take? Since we don’t know whether rates will go higher or lower over any given timeframe, the approach I recommend is to own bonds in each of several categories. That way, you’ll benefit, in part, if rates go up, and you’ll benefit, in part, if rates go down. Here’s how I’d structure a bond portfolio today: For me, the most important thing is to own mostly short-term bonds. Specifically, you might allocate 60% of your bond portfolio to short-term Treasurys, using a fund like Vanguard’s VGSH. This fund should be among the most stable investments available because it’s backed by the U.S. government, which, for better or worse, has the ability to print money to meet its obligations. And its short duration means that, all things being equal, it will be less susceptible to rising interest rates if rates do continue to rise. As a point of reference, in 2022, when rates rose quickly, this fund lost less than 4% of its value. That’s in contrast to total-bond market funds, which lost an extremely unpleasant 13% that year. If you’re in a high tax bracket (over 30%), you could split your short-term holdings between Treasurys, which are taxable at the federal level, and municipal bonds, which are exempt from federal tax. You might consider a short-term municipal fund like Vanguard’s VTES or VWSUX. Next, I’d allocate 20% to intermediate-term bonds. While these will be more susceptible to losses when rates rise, they’ll also gain more when rates fall. Last year, for example, when rates fell, intermediate-term government bond funds like Vanguard’s VGIT gained more than 7%. So I see them as worth the additional risk. That said, if this risk concerns you, there’s a relatively easy alternative: For this part of your portfolio, you could purchase a ladder of individual bonds covering maturities between five and 10 years. While it requires additional effort to purchase individual bonds, what you’ll receive in return is greater certainty. At the moment that you purchase an individual bond, you’ll know the yield to maturity. Barring a default—which is unlikely with a government bond—that’s precisely the return you will earn. For the final 20% of a bond portfolio, I recommend inflation-protected Treasury bonds, known as TIPS. Here again, you could purchase individual bonds or a bond fund, and there’s a lot of debate on this topic. But according to research I find convincing, the best way to protect against inflation is with short-term TIPS. So to keep things simple, I would opt for a fund rather than a ladder of individual bonds, which would require frequent trading. One good fund in this category is Vanguard’s VTIP. At the end of the day, the most important thing, in my view, is to build a bond portfolio that’s diversified enough that you could reliably draw on it in years when stocks are down. And recognizing that even short-term bonds carry some amount of risk, it’s worth also holding a “floor” of cash, using a government money market fund, as an additional element in your portfolio. These won’t gain in value when interest rates fall, but they’re designed not to lose any value if rates rise. Put it all together, and I see this as an effective sleep-at-night structure no matter where things go next. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.  
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Spending

A Wedding Too Far

"Sent you a document today (Sunday). Congratulations again."
- Martin McCue
Read more »

Investing

Flipping the Script on Asset Allocation?

"I own BSV also. Curious… Are you investing your proceeds from BSV into VGSH or some other fixed income investment?"
- Andy Morrison
Read more »

Spending

Little luxuries

"Almost all of our Amazon purchases are through Subscribe & Save. We get delivery once a month and save up to 15% on top of the 5% for the credit card. Even if you only buy an item once, sometimes you can subscribe and get a discount for quick delivery, and then cancel the subscription."
- Randy Dobkin
Read more »

Estate Plan

Financial Choices

FOR MUCH OF THE seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, European monarchs used a financial instrument known as a tontine to help finance their governments.  Tontines were first developed in the 1650s by an Italian government worker named Lorenzo Tonti and were similar to annuities: In exchange for a single, lump-sum purchase, tontines offered guaranteed payments for life. But tontines also offered some unique features. Unlike an annuity, where payments end with the death of the owner, tontine holders had the option of tying the payments to another person. A parent, for example, could name their son or daughter on a tontine, thus extending the payments over a much longer period. In the 1750s, however, a Swiss banker named Jacob Beaumont had a realization: While the owners of tontines typically named their children, a quirk in the rules permitted a tontine owner to name any individual. To Beaumont, this presented an opportunity: Why not name the youngest possible person, thus extending the stream of payments even further?  In his home town of Geneva, Beaumont identified ideal candidates for this role: young children who came from well-heeled backgrounds and were thus likely to have access to good healthcare. He then began loading up on tontines tied to the very long life expectancies of these children. The strategy worked exactly as expected and delivered Beaumont enormous profits. Other investors then piled in, mimicking Beaumont’s strategy, which, for a time, offered a virtually no-lose opportunity for profit. This went on until the French government, in frustration, discontinued its tontine program. When it comes to financial decisions, it’s the rare situation that’s as obvious as the one that Beaumont identified. Instead, most financial decisions entail some amount of uncertainty and are subject to judgment. Some choices, though, are closer than others to being obvious decisions. Here are six that I see frequently. 
  1. Certain Social Security claiming decisions are without question. For example, if you’re married and plan to claim the spousal benefit, it’s important to know that this benefit hits a maximum at full retirement age (FRA), which is now age 67 for most people. Unlike workers’ own benefits, which can continue to increase all the way to age 70, spousal benefits are subject to a different rule, so there’s no benefit for anyone to wait beyond FRA.
  2. You may be familiar with umbrella insurance. This provides additional liability coverage on top of auto and homeowner’s (or renter’s) insurance. Because it covers low-likelihood situations, such as someone slipping and falling on your front walk, umbrella coverage is extremely cost effective—sometimes as low as a few hundred dollars per year. I see it as an obvious benefit because the situations it covers, however unlikely, are also the ones that could be the most expensive. And because it would be the insurance company that would face exposure, insurers provide legal defense, at their expense, if there is ever a claim. How much coverage should you have? I generally recommend between $1 million and $5 million, but the key point is that almost any coverage is better than none. 
  3. In choosing an asset allocation for your portfolio, I think it’s best to avoid rules of thumb, because everyone is different. At the same time, a recommendation that I see as universal is to avoid extremes. I wouldn’t get too close to 100% bonds because of the corrosive impact of inflation. And I don’t like getting too close to 100% stocks because of the volatility and risk of loss. That’s always been my view, but recent research can help investors narrow the range further. William Bengen, creator of the “4% rule,” published a book last year in which, for the first time, he looked at the question of portfolio longevity through the lens of asset allocation. What he found was that portfolios with stock allocations between 45% and 75% offered the highest sustainable withdrawal rates over multiple decades.
  1. If you’ve recently retired, you may be considering a Roth conversion, whereby you’d move dollars from your pre-tax IRA to a Roth IRA. This is a popular strategy, but the catch is that a tax must be paid when a conversion is completed, and your tax bracket can increase as you convert more. Convert too much, and you can negate the benefit of a conversion. For that reason, it isn’t always obvious whether a conversion is advisable. There is one situation, though, where a conversion offers an almost obvious benefit: If your income, even with a conversion, would be in one of the two lowest tax brackets (10% or 12%), then it’s unlikely you’d ever find yourself in a lower bracket than that in the future. In that case, especially because of special deductions provided by the new tax rules, I’d view it as an almost obvious choice to proceed with a conversion up to the top of the 12% bracket.
  1. Looking to make charitable gifts? Because the standard deduction is now so high, fewer taxpayers are able to itemize deductions, and that can limit the tax benefit of donations. But there’s still a way to gain a tax benefit: If you have appreciated stocks in a taxable account, you can donate them to a donor-advised fund. That would allow you to sidestep the capital gains tax that would otherwise be due if you sold those stocks. Many donor-advised funds have no minimums, making this an easy choice, in my view.
  2. If you believe your estate will top the estate tax threshold (about $15 million per person at the federal level, but much lower in certain states), then I would be sure to use the annual exclusion (currently $19,000 per donor and per recipient) to make incremental gifts to your heirs. That's because this annual exclusion is in addition to the lifetime exclusion and doesn’t carry over from year to year.
Note that these gifts don't have to be made in cash if the recipients aren't yet in a position to receive them. As alternatives, you could make contributions to a 529 account or to a trust for their benefit, and these contributions would count toward the annual exclusion. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.  
Read more »

From HumbleDollar Founder Jonathan Clements

Lists

Why HumbleDollar?

IN OUR 20s, WE TEND to be a confident lot: We figure we know what we want from our life, that the goal is…
Read more »

Behavior

The Ultimate Tail Risk

"I think most folks think AI is or will become a sentient bogeyman that will rule over us. I think of AI in terms of bringing quantities of compute power to a problem. We have been quietly raising the bar on how much that is and lowering the bar on what problems can be addressed. The compute power is sifting through large data sets in a timely fashion using logic that can grow based on what was learned previously. So, the real issues are how reliable is the data and what logic choices have been used to provide an answer. More transparency in these two areas will lessen our fears going forward. We cannot stop the rise of compute power and we cannot stop more and more applications to solving our issues."
- Kurt Yokum
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Family

The Jonathan I Found: Through Others’ Eyes

WHEN MY YOUNGER brother Jonathan died, I thought I knew who he was. After all, we had shared a childhood in England, years together at boarding school, family adventures in Bangladesh, and more than six decades as brothers. I knew the journalist the world admired, the devoted husband and father, and the man whose words quietly helped millions of readers live richer lives, not simply financially, but personally as well. I was wrong. Over the past several months, I've been searching for Jonathan's beginnings. I thought I was looking for old articles, forgotten photographs and the names of people who had influenced his career. Instead, something unexpected happened. Former classmates, editors, colleagues, friends and readers began sharing their own Jonathan. One remembered a trusted reporter who never misrepresented his intentions. Another remembered a laugh that never disappeared, even in the face of death. His children remembered a father whose greatest gift wasn't advice, but confidence. Piece by piece, they gave me back my brother. Not a different Jonathan. A fuller one. There was a Jonathan his readers and sources knew that I had never fully appreciated. He wasn't afraid to ask difficult questions, but he asked them honestly, respectfully and never with an agenda. Dina Isola, who dealt with Jonathan professionally for many years, remembered that his reputation for fairness and honesty meant people trusted him enough to agree to interviews even when the subject matter was difficult. Financial adviser Dan Danford remembered another quality. Jonathan held strong opinions, but he was never condescending or antagonistic toward those who saw things differently. Dan described him as open to genuine discussion, willing to listen as well as challenge. Bill Blase, a longtime media relations executive who worked with Jonathan, saw yet another side of that same integrity: how seriously Jonathan took his responsibility to readers. Bill remembered him as meticulous about every word, statistic and investment he described. Jonathan once explained why: "We're talking about real money here. So, the challenge is on getting it right, the first time. Not the second. This is not Monopoly." Jason Zweig, who became Jonathan's friend in 1987, distilled all of this into a sentence I'll never forget: "What you read is who he was." People trusted Jonathan because he was honest. They felt they knew him because he shared something of himself in every article he wrote. Jonathan wrote about personal finance, but his work was never just about money. It was about life, the choices we make and the experiences that ultimately matter most. Bill Bernstein captured that beautifully when he said Jonathan wrote about "things that were far beyond the beat of a normal finance writer." Perhaps Bill's most revealing observation was also his shortest: "This man knows my life." I suspect millions of readers felt exactly the same, not because Jonathan knew their individual circumstances, but because he understood something deeper about the hopes, fears and uncertainties we all share. As I continued listening, I realized there was still more of Jonathan to discover. Through his children, Hannah and Henry, I met perhaps the most important Jonathan of all. They didn't remember a celebrated journalist or one of the world's most respected financial writers. They remembered their dad. Hannah recalled telling Jonathan how strong he had been throughout his illness. His response surprised her: "You would be the same if you were in my situation." That simple reply revealed something profound. Jonathan seemed to see strength and confidence in other people long before they saw it in themselves. She also remembered her first day of kindergarten. Jonathan bent down and whispered, "We'll pay for the best college you can get into, so go work hard." It still makes me smile. It was vintage Jonathan: Encouraging, optimistic and quietly expressing his confidence in her future. Henry's memories were different. He remembered cups of tea, conversations and simply spending time together. They were ordinary moments that, taken together, painted the picture of an extraordinary father. Listening to both of them, I began to understand something I had never fully appreciated. Jonathan's greatest legacy isn't found only in the books he wrote or the articles he published. It lives on in the confidence he gave his children, the kindness they extend to others and the values they now carry forward. Elaine knew another side of Jonathan, the husband who could make her laugh from the moment she came downstairs in the morning until the last conversation before they fell asleep. She remembered that, despite the wonderful vacations and fine restaurants they enjoyed, Jonathan often said he was happiest during quiet Sundays at home, sharing coffee and croissants, watching the squirrels and birds in the garden, and simply knowing the other was there. Even his financial instincts followed them home and on vacation. Whenever Elaine contemplated a purchase, Jonathan would ask, “Do you really need that?” or, when traveling, “Do you have room in your suitcase for that?” Sometimes she listened and sometimes she didn’t. But even now, she says, his voice still guides her when she’s tempted to buy something. Most importantly, Elaine remembered Jonathan as a man of his word. When he said something, he meant it. He showed his love not through grand gestures, but through everyday acts of kindness and devotion. During his final year, as he quietly made sure Elaine and his children would be financially secure, she came to see those preparations for a future he knew he wouldn’t share as one of his greatest demonstrations of how much he loved them. Then there was Jonathan's humor. Cancer didn't take that from him. If anything, it sharpened it. Even as his world grew smaller, his laughter never did. Jason Zweig remembered that Jonathan "laughed at death the same way he had laughed at everything else, with that unquenchable cackle of his." Bill Bernstein saw the same remarkable spirit, recalling, "I never saw anyone who could laugh in the face of death the way he did." Jonathan himself joked that he "hadn't realized what a marvelous book marketing strategy a terminal diagnosis could be." Those stories weren't simply amusing. They revealed a man who refused to let illness decide who he would be. Like many readers, I assumed Jonathan started HumbleDollar as a retirement hobby, a way to stay connected to writing after leaving The Wall Street Journal. I couldn't have been more mistaken. HumbleDollar became another expression of the person he had always been. Jonathan devoted countless hours to writing, answering emails, interviewing readers, encouraging new writers and quietly building a community. Yet none of it ever seemed like an obligation. He genuinely enjoyed the conversations and the opportunity to help others. What struck me most wasn't the number of hours he worked, but how willingly he gave away his time. Whether responding to an email from a first-time reader or interviewing someone for an article, he made people feel they mattered. One reader told me Jonathan always replied with a handwritten thank you note after receiving a donation. Others remembered thoughtful emails, encouraging conversations and carefully edited articles that made them better writers. Individually, those acts seem small. Together, they tell us exactly who Jonathan was. The more I listened, the more I realized that Jonathan never forgot the people who had opened doors for him early in his career. Mrs. Dolezal helped him find his first reporting job. Leslie Leven patiently taught him the craft of journalism. Years later, Jonathan quietly became that person for countless others. I don't think he mentored people simply because he was generous. I think he did it because he remembered. In the weeks after Jonathan's death, I thought I was collecting stories. I wasn't. I was collecting pieces of a man. His readers showed me his integrity. His friends showed me his humanity. His children showed me his heart. His colleagues showed me his generosity. No one person held the whole picture. Not even me. But together they did. When Jonathan died, I thought I had lost the brother I knew. Instead, over the weeks that followed, I found myself discovering him all over again. The Jonathan I found wasn't different from the brother I had always loved. Through the memories of everyone whose life he had touched, I simply came to know him more completely.   After spending more than two decades building a successful landscaping business with his twin brother Nicholas, Andrew Clements retired in 2015 with a new appreciation for what matters most. Born in England, his essays draw on a life that has included growing up in England and Bangladesh, entrepreneurship, caregiving, family loss and travel. A regular HumbleDollar contributor, he enjoys tellingstories that remind readers life’s richest lessons often have little to do with money. Andrew is the older brother of HumbleDollar founder Jonathan Clements, whose life and legacy have inspired some of his most personal writing. He lives in Florida with his husband, Joey.
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Spending

When $2000 Isn’t Worth the Hassle

"Becoming a landlord 30 years ago, I wish I would’ve kept track through the years of all the people I gave free housing too. The way I see it is that God didn’t hold me accountable for what I did wrong. So who am I take people to court and squeeze every penny out of them? It’s legal and fair, but I let it go. It’s part of helping others. Admittedly in your case you’re helping a nameless face giant Corporation, but not really. Those are people there too and it’s owned by people."
- S Phillips
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Houses

My Favorite Room

"If you think political discussions are spirited, just for fun try logging on to sites dealing with topics like "Vinyl versus CD or Streaming" or "Analog versus Digital". Lots of interesting technical and scientific data exist, but strongly held personal beliefs reign. My non-expert advice: Buy what you enjoy listening too, never mind what others say. I have zero musical talent, but I love listening to music, both live and recorded, and I know a little about the neuroscience of audio perception and basic acoustics. Dan Smith below mentions the important fact that the room will interact with the speakers. The late Siegfried Linkwitz's goal was to produce a home speaker system which worked with the room, not against it, to create a convincing sonic illusion that the recorded performers were in the room with you. For details, engineers and enthusiasts on this site might enjoy perusing: www.linkwitzlab.com I have his flagship system in my basement which is a very large space (about 16,400 cubic feet; they perform better in large rooms). If I'm busy with something on the main floor or am just too lazy to go downstairs, our far less expensive but convenient system is good enough. The brain is clever about enhancing and filling in when listening to less than state-of-the-art systems. And while my ears are 73 years old and I can't hear as well as I used to, I can quickly tell whether the reproduced sound approaches a level of realism."
- Jack Hannam
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Investing

Structuring Bonds

IT'S BEEN AN UNUSUAL week in the bond market, and not necessarily in a good way. This has many investors questioning the value of bonds, which is understandable. Bonds are supposed to be the “safe” side of a portfolio, but they’ve struggled in recent years. Arguably, the drama we’re seeing in the bond market today began more than 50 years ago. To put today’s situation in perspective, I’ll briefly summarize that long history. Then we can look at what steps you might take to better protect your portfolio from here. Back in the 1970s, as you’re probably aware, inflation rose above 10%. Policymakers struggled for years to bring it under control, but in the early 1980s a Fed chair named Paul Volcker finally succeeded. He accomplished that by raising the Fed’s benchmark rate to nearly 20%. With this step, Volcker succeeded in calming inflation, and that allowed the Fed to begin lowering rates, a gradual process that continued for most of the following 40 years. Because bond prices move inversely to interest rates, that entire stretch was extremely beneficial for bonds. As rates fell, bonds rose. Between 1980 and 2020, intermediate-term U.S. government bonds returned 7% per year, on average. That multi-decade run helped seal the reputation of bonds as an easy and reliable way to offset the risk of stocks. But then the other shoe dropped. Due to pandemic-related government spending and tangled supply chains, inflation began rising around 2021. Well aware of what the economy experienced in the 1970s, the Fed responded by raising rates aggressively. For a time, that appeared to bring inflation under control, and the government had even started to lower rates again last year. But then the war with Iran started. That caused energy prices to jump higher, and that, worryingly, has caused inflation to start creeping back up again. In response, the Fed this week was forced to take action, raising rates in an effort to contain inflation before it gains steam. Interest rates on long-term bonds are now at 20-year highs. And because bond prices move inversely to interest rates, bonds are having another difficult year. Total-bond market funds like Vanguard’s BND are now negative year-to-date. Where the bond market goes from here is anyone’s guess, but this history is important, in my view, because bonds are unlikely to see another long, positive stretch like the one investors enjoyed a generation ago. Instead, I believe investors need to be more cautious.  What steps might you take? Since we don’t know whether rates will go higher or lower over any given timeframe, the approach I recommend is to own bonds in each of several categories. That way, you’ll benefit, in part, if rates go up, and you’ll benefit, in part, if rates go down. Here’s how I’d structure a bond portfolio today: For me, the most important thing is to own mostly short-term bonds. Specifically, you might allocate 60% of your bond portfolio to short-term Treasurys, using a fund like Vanguard’s VGSH. This fund should be among the most stable investments available because it’s backed by the U.S. government, which, for better or worse, has the ability to print money to meet its obligations. And its short duration means that, all things being equal, it will be less susceptible to rising interest rates if rates do continue to rise. As a point of reference, in 2022, when rates rose quickly, this fund lost less than 4% of its value. That’s in contrast to total-bond market funds, which lost an extremely unpleasant 13% that year. If you’re in a high tax bracket (over 30%), you could split your short-term holdings between Treasurys, which are taxable at the federal level, and municipal bonds, which are exempt from federal tax. You might consider a short-term municipal fund like Vanguard’s VTES or VWSUX. Next, I’d allocate 20% to intermediate-term bonds. While these will be more susceptible to losses when rates rise, they’ll also gain more when rates fall. Last year, for example, when rates fell, intermediate-term government bond funds like Vanguard’s VGIT gained more than 7%. So I see them as worth the additional risk. That said, if this risk concerns you, there’s a relatively easy alternative: For this part of your portfolio, you could purchase a ladder of individual bonds covering maturities between five and 10 years. While it requires additional effort to purchase individual bonds, what you’ll receive in return is greater certainty. At the moment that you purchase an individual bond, you’ll know the yield to maturity. Barring a default—which is unlikely with a government bond—that’s precisely the return you will earn. For the final 20% of a bond portfolio, I recommend inflation-protected Treasury bonds, known as TIPS. Here again, you could purchase individual bonds or a bond fund, and there’s a lot of debate on this topic. But according to research I find convincing, the best way to protect against inflation is with short-term TIPS. So to keep things simple, I would opt for a fund rather than a ladder of individual bonds, which would require frequent trading. One good fund in this category is Vanguard’s VTIP. At the end of the day, the most important thing, in my view, is to build a bond portfolio that’s diversified enough that you could reliably draw on it in years when stocks are down. And recognizing that even short-term bonds carry some amount of risk, it’s worth also holding a “floor” of cash, using a government money market fund, as an additional element in your portfolio. These won’t gain in value when interest rates fall, but they’re designed not to lose any value if rates rise. Put it all together, and I see this as an effective sleep-at-night structure no matter where things go next. Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.  
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Manifesto

NO. 53: STRIVING toward our goals is usually more satisfying than achieving them. Yes, we should think hard about our goals—but we should also ask whether we’ll enjoy the journey.

think

HALO EFFECT. If we admire one feature of a person or object, the good feelings can spill over into other areas, hurting our judgment. We love the huge markdowns at the car dealership—and find ourselves buying a vehicle we don’t especially like. We purchase a fund that performs well—and end up owning other funds from the same company that aren’t nearly as good.

humans

NO. 37: WE ATTRIBUTE our winners to our own brilliance, a phenomenon known as self-attribution bias. Meanwhile, we blame our losers on others—the neighbor, financial advisor or TV pundit who suggested the investment. This makes it harder to learn from our mistakes, while boosting our self-confidence and increasing the risk of future missteps.

act

MAKE END-OF-LIFE decisions. Ponder who should make medical and financial choices for you if you’re incapacitated. Draw up powers of attorney that reflect those wishes. Add a living will, detailing what life-prolonging medical procedures you want taken. Decide whether to donate your organs. Specify what sort of funeral you want. Choose an executor.

Pay down debt

Manifesto

NO. 53: STRIVING toward our goals is usually more satisfying than achieving them. Yes, we should think hard about our goals—but we should also ask whether we’ll enjoy the journey.

Spotlight: Abuse

Low-Cost Protection

I’VE BEEN IN LOVE with index funds for a long time, especially for a reason that doesn’t get enough attention. Lots of financial writers correctly praise index funds for their low costs, low turnover, low drama, massive and easy diversification, and numerous other good attributes.
But the No. 1 reason you should love index funds is they will keep you out of the hands of pushy, unethical financial salespeople. If Wall Street knows you’re committed to index funds,

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The Victim Might Be You

Who Is the Victim of a Ponzi Scheme?

Age: Often 50 or older, particularly retirees looking for stable income or to preserve capital.
Education: Many victims are college-educated—some with advanced degrees.
Financial Status: Typically middle to upper-middle class, with meaningful retirement savings or liquid assets.
Investment Experience: Usually have some experience, but not deep technical knowledge—confident, but not always skeptical.

Sounds like a typical HumbleDollar reader, doesn’t it?
Each year, 20 to 40 Ponzi schemes are uncovered in the U.S.,

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Numbers Game

IT HAPPENED AGAIN. For the third time in two years, our credit card number was stolen. I learned this yesterday when I received the now-too-frequent question from Chase: “Do you recognize this gas station purchase for $1?” We live nowhere near the station in question, so I knew something was amiss.
I appreciate Chase’s diligence in identifying such transactions, and the fact that we won’t be held liable for any fraudulent charges. Still, I’ve grown weary of the whole process of cancelling credit cards,

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Copycat Crime

I WAS SITTING AT MY computer one lunchtime when an email popped up from one of my credit card companies, saying I’d just purchased nearly $12,000 of jewelry at a store in Toronto. Within minutes, I was on the phone to the card company.
I was quickly referred to the fraud unit. I told my story. The company credited my account, cancelled the card and mailed me replacements. Weeks later, I had to complete a form,

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A Dark Place

WHERE WOULD WE BE without the internet, social media, and our smartphones and smartwatches? Can you remember a time when you couldn’t look up the answer to a trivia question at a cocktail party? I love answering the phone on my watch. It takes me back to Dick Tracy.
There I was, going along happily in my online universe—until I got an email from McAfee’s identity theft protection service alerting me that my phone number had been found on the dark web.

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Pig Butchering

Sounds awful doesn’t it?
The Article in the WSJ was so painful to read but it led me to the awareness of how to protect myself and those I love.
in the article the problem was the spouse trusted the other spouse who was starting the long road of dementia.  How do you protect your financial well being from something like that?
HumbleDollar readers, how do you protect yourselves?  I need your wisdom.

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Spotlight: Quinn

Exercising true frugality 

Would you “waste money” on something of questionable value? Something that receives only a passing glance or less, that is fleetingly or not at all appreciated, that is mostly discarded within days and is often a mere obstacle to the prize within? I bet you would and have, possibly multiple times a year. I try to resist, but it is fruitless, we are cornered. There are other ways to approach the situation, but most of us are trapped by convention. The sinister people involved create the need and have for a long time. The first of these was created in1843 in London for Sir Henry Cole. The tradition that trapped us began in the 1870s. Connie and I went shopping for our latest supply yesterday. I picked up one or two and looked at the price. Nope! I don’t care who it’s for, I’m not paying $6.99 for a birthday card for a one year old. I’m pretty sure he can’t read it and the parents are more interested in the paper inside.  What’s wrong with writing a note and putting it in an envelope I asked.  That didn’t go over well so we drove a few miles using $0.75 worth of gas to a store where they had cards for $1.00. I like paying less for a greeting card than a gallon of gas.  The frugal version is not as glitzy, they don’t  speak, there was no chip, but they were to the point, “Happy Birthday.” Do I really need to express my thoughts on life’s journey and a bright future?  My curmudgeonly view is the price of greeting cards is out of hand. They are like buying a house. We used to be satisfied with six rooms, one bathroom and closets you just stuck your arm in. Now…
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A discussion on health insurance, premiums, profits and such- a 50 year perspective most people don’t want to accept

The current standard Medicare Part B premium is $202.90 a month. That equals about 25% of the cost of Part B. The average American worker with employer coverage pays about 26% of premium for family coverage. Remember, Medicare payroll taxes only fund Part A of Medicare. Part D and B are funded via premiums and general tax revenue.  Combined, Connie and I pay $1,925.60 per month for Parts B and D and Plan G Medigap. That is over ten times my monthly employer payroll deduction the day before I retired.  Our Medigap is high, over $300 a month each. That’s because my employer dropped our Medicare supplement coverage and we ended up with age based premiums. Premium-wise having Medicare is not necessarily a bargain.  However, the good news is despite high premiums, our out-of-pocket costs are limited to the Part B deductible which, considering the expenses we are incurring, is a blessing indeed.  Would I like lower premiums? Absolutely. Do I think what we are paying is unfair? No.  Premiums for any health insurance are driven by the cost and use of healthcare by the people in the group be it Medicare, an ACA plan or employer plan (most of whom don’t even use insurance, but are self-funded). Because of this, a non-profit insurance company like a Blue Cross plan can have higher premiums than a for-profit. The rhetoric about insurance company profits and CEO pay is quite irrelevant in the overall context of premiums. They represent a small percentage (2-5%) of each premium anyone pays. Health insurance company profit margins are no higher, sometimes lower, than those of regulated utilities.  The large corporate profits people refer to are driven by the volume of policies in effect and sometimes include foreign sales and other lines of business. It’s not because…
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How well off are Americans compared to the rest of the world? Fun facts.

When I took at look at the data I was a bit surprised. We hear a lot about the US being the richest country in the world, but the data was a shock. Using a global measure, it’s not hard to be wealthy. These figures come from global income distribution analyses and calculators using World Bank and UN data. Net worth Based on the latest global income and wealth distribution data, the approximate cutoffs for the 50th, 75th, and 90th percentiles are: 50th percentile (median global income): ≈ $3,000–$4,000 per year (PPP‑adjusted).• Half the world lives on less than this.  75th percentile: ≈ $15,000–$20,000 per year.• Being above $20k puts you ahead of ~75% of humanity. 90th percentile: ≈ $35,000–$45,000 per year.• Around $40,000 places you in the global top 10%.  A typical U.S. income (~$60k–$70k) is top 5% globally. Based on the UBS/Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report and global wealth percentile calculators. 50th percentile (median global wealth): ≈ $8,700 net worth.• Half of adults worldwide have less than this.  75th percentile: ≈ $60,000–$100,000 net worth.• Example: $100k ≈ 75th percentile globally.  90th percentile: ≈ $175,000 net worth.• This is the threshold for the global top 10%. On a US basis $175,000 net worth puts you near the 50th percentile, but there are wide variations by state  As Joey used to say, how you doin?
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What is the right percentage?

With all that’s going on with SS (COLA, taxation, potential cuts) and some changes certain in the next six years, is it time to rethink the income replacement percentage you shoot for in retirement? I won’t give my theory again, one or more of the Clements family will be upset with me😅 However, self preservation, a hedge against longevity, hence inflation and peace of mind still tells me that a goal of replacing 60, 70 or 80% of pre retirement income is not sufficient. Pssst … it’s 100% of the income you were actually living on day to day before you retired. Trust me it’s comforting.
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About that inflation in retirement

No doubt you have heard or read the posts and comments, perhaps by friends about the Social Security COLA. It’s not accurate, not fair, not enough, doesn’t keep up with our actual spending, use the CPI-E and all the rest. One thing it does for sure is add to the Trusts growing shortfall. Some people really need that annual boost, if for nothing else to help offset growing Medicare premiums. But others, including many in the HD community, should be able to plan on their own to deal with inflation in retirement. It is built into projections and spreadsheets, right?  We should have a backup plan. What  would you think about modifying the application of the COLA for higher income retirees? For example, no COLA for five years if you retire with the maximum FRA SS benefit or limit the COLA for the top 50% of retirees income wise to the dollar amount received at the mid point or maybe at a certain income level a COLA adjustment every other year? We need a long term fix to Social Security and in my opinion the full burden should not be on today’s workers alone. So, what do you say, can you handle the affects of inflation in retirement on your own?
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Is saving really that hard? Nope, not for the great majority of Americans. 

I posed this question to an AI program (because I don’t know how to use a spreadsheet). “If my income is $3,000 per month, I save 10%, I expect to earn 8% per year on invested money and my income will increase by 2.5% per year (basically inflation). How much will I have in 40 years?” Here’s the answer. You’d have about $1.29 million after 40 years, assuming you invest the savings monthly, earn 8% per year compounded monthly, and your income — and therefore your 10% savings amount — rises 2.5% each year. Assuming all tax deferred. About $914,000 of the final $1.29 million is growth from returns on your investments If you save only 5% of income instead of 10%, you’d have about $645,600 after 40 years About $457,000 of the final $645,600 is growth from returns on your investments. Compounding is pretty powerful stuff. Imagine if this was all in a Roth account. Saving a portion pre-tax will help with take-home pay.  Add a few extra dollars along the way; tax refund, a bonus, a gift, whatever and things look better.  In my opinion, for most people this is very doable and once in place will continue virtually unnoticed. Lifestyle with a bit of discipline will be based on net income. Add Social Security to this nest egg and retirement should be comfortable.  We could play with the numbers all we like, but the approach is sound for most people even recognizing life’s blips along the way. 
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