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On Being a “Healthy” Person

"Here is another health tip. One of my sister in laws had a blood clot and they tested her for something called the Leiden factor which makes you more susceptible to blood clots. More than half of her siblings have it."
- DavidHLancaster
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Free Breakfast

"Linda, one shootout happened when police showed up to arrest a suspect hiding at the hotel, in order to avoid the arrest warrant."
- DAN SMITH
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The $5,000 Thought Experiment

"Dick, good analogy! Makes me wonder what our fictional households would do if they had a personal money-printing press to inflate away the debt."
- Mark Crothers
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A Wedding Too Far

"Cheryl, nothing says "till debt do us part" like a wedding loan."
- Mark Crothers
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Inflation Hedge

THE OPEN KITCHEN restaurant has been a fixture in Charlotte, North Carolina for 75 years. The restaurant has an old-time feel, with memorabilia, including menus from years gone by, lining its walls. Those old menus provided David Enna, a financial journalist, with a laboratory for examining the effects of inflation. What did Enna find? The oldest menu on display is from 1963. To state the obvious, today’s prices make those from the 1960s look quaint. Back then, spaghetti and meatballs cost just $1.10. Today, it’s $15.50. But, as Enna points out, that was more than 60 years ago, so increases are to be expected. Over the past 60 years, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has averaged 3.8% per year. That isn’t unreasonable, especially since that average includes the 1970s, when inflation sometimes topped 10%. What’s of more concern, though, is what consumers have experienced more recently. Since 2020, prices across the economy have risen 29%. And though those increases have slowed, the Fed is still struggling to ratchet inflation back to its preferred 2% level. This has given investors renewed interest in strategies to defend against inflation. At first glance, this doesn’t seem like it should be such a difficult problem. The U.S. Treasury offers an investment specifically designed for this purpose: Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). These are bonds that are guaranteed by the federal government to increase in value with inflation. And though I hesitate to use the words “bond” and “exciting” in the same sentence, today many investors are finding the return on TIPS compelling. The 30-year TIPS is now paying close to 3% on top of inflation. If inflation averages 2.5%, for example, over the next 30 years, this bond will end up returning a total of 5.5% per year, and with minimal risk. That sounds good in theory, but do these bonds make sense for your portfolio? It’s worth taking a closer look. The first thing to note is that this seemingly attractive 3% yield only applies to 30-year TIPS. Yields on shorter-term bonds are lower. So unless your investment horizon happens to be exactly 30 years, these bonds may be of limited practical value. Putting aside the yield question, though, a more fundamental challenge with individual TIPS—and individual bonds in general—is that they’re a cumbersome way to build a portfolio. Even if you didn’t mind the process of buying bonds one by one, which can be tedious, there’s the fact that it’s hard for most people to be able to forecast their cash flow needs each year into the future. That’s a problem because choosing maturity dates is the foundation on which bond portfolios are built. Ideally, if you can align the maturity dates of the bonds in your portfolio with your future cash needs, then you can hold bonds to maturity, which is when the issuer would promise to pay you back in full. But that redemption value is guaranteed only at maturity. Buy a 20-year bond and sell it after just 10 years, and there are no guarantees. A bondholder could easily lose money selling an individual bond before maturity. Given these challenges, would a TIPS fund be a better choice? To be sure, bond funds are much simpler to purchase and to manage, but they typically offer even less protection from losses than individual bonds. Most recently, shareholders in TIPS funds were disappointed by how they performed in 2022, when inflation spiked to 9%. Investors expected that to be the year when TIPS rewarded investors, but instead, diversified TIPS funds such as the Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund (ticker: VAIPX) lost nearly 12%. Why did funds like this fare so poorly when inflation was running so high? The problem is that, at the end of the day, TIPS are still bonds. And though they receive a bump in value when inflation rises, a countervailing force is that they lose value when interest rates rise. In 2022, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates aggressively to fight inflation. The negative impact from those rate increases far outweighed the benefit TIPS received from inflation being higher. That puts investors in a difficult position. If TIPS provide inflation protection in theory, but both individual TIPS and TIPS funds carry limitations, what other options are there? The good news is that not all TIPS funds are the same. Some hold only short-term bonds, and they have historically held up much better than more broadly diversified TIPS funds because short-term bonds are more resilient when interest rates rise. Over the past five years, a fund like Vanguard’s Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF (ticker: VTIP) has outperformed a comparable fund (ticker: VGSH) holding standard short-term Treasury bonds every year, as well as this year to-date. It’s important to note, though, that this is relative performance. In 2022, when the entire bond market was under pressure, even short-term TIPS funds like VTIP did still lose money. They just lost less than funds holding conventional bonds. The bottom line: We should never become too wedded to any one strategy. No investment can promise reliable and complete protection against inflation in every market scenario. That said, I do still recommend TIPS and would specifically recommend a short-term fund like VTIP. But I also suggest taking a diversified approach to inflation protection. Here are other steps to consider. If you’re in your 60s and considering when to claim Social Security, that decision offers a powerful lever. Because Social Security benefits increase with inflation and also increase with each year you delay claiming, it’s maybe the most effective way to build additional inflation protection into your plan. What else can you do? Fortunately, you may already own one of the most effective—and underappreciated—inflation-fighting instruments: stocks. While rising prices in recent years have been frustrating for consumers, the result has been that companies have been able to maintain their profit margins. That, in turn, has helped to support their stock prices through this period of inflation. To be sure, some companies have more of an ability to raise prices than others, but overall, stocks are, in my view, a good way to keep pace with inflation. The one thing I wouldn’t do is to buy gold. Despite its reputation, various studies have confirmed that gold really isn’t a reliable inflation hedge. In a paper titled “The Golden Dilemma,” researchers wrote: “Over practical investment horizons, gold is an unreliable inflation hedge,” though they acknowledge that it may be more reliable over longer timeframes—“if the investment horizon is measured in centuries.”   Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.  
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Growing Up In A Big House

"My most sincere thanks to the Clements family for not enabling the posting of pictures🙏"
- DAN SMITH
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Taking It With You

DEEP DOWN INSIDE, I want to be the richest person in the graveyard.  I retired at age 62, confident in our financial plan to survive market fluctuations. We saved over 25% of our income for nearly three decades. Perhaps a bit too much, but we lived well and always had sufficient funds to raise a family, maintain our household, and put our children through postgraduate education. If anything, our retirement spending level is conservative, based on a 40 year time frame for both my wife and I. We have a slightly nuanced financial plan. Suffice to say it is reassuring to know that we are beyond financial security if we simply maintain an inflation adjusted 4% withdrawal rate. Indeed, calculations suggested we could double our pre-retirement budget, with no worries or loss of sleep. Risk be damned! Slowly, we made a conscious decision to spend more. At first it was tough to break old habits. I mean, frugality runs deep in my immediate family. You could use my brother and I as chromosomal templates in a genetic search to discover the frugality gene.  My wife and I now go out for coffee without blinking an eye at paying nearly 6 bucks for a cup of Joe (plus tip). We don’t hesitate to escape the Houston heat by scarfing 5 dollar a scoop ice cream. We no longer plan our restaurant outings according to Happy Hour schedules or local senior discounts.  Even so, three years into retirement, our annual spending remains well below what our financial plan says we can safely afford.  Time to up the ante. We bought season tickets to the symphony and added a dinner date before the performance. We took international vacations twice a year, exploring new countries and cultures. We drove to national parks and treated ourselves to overnights in hotels instead of motels. We gifted our children, with hopes they would bolster their own long-term savings. Gosh, we even made significant charitable gifts to institutions we only previously dreamed of supporting.  Spending is easy. Spending wisely is a challenge. Ironically, the strong stock market since our retirement has made it remarkably difficult to spend our money as initially planned. It sounds counter intuitive, but let me explain.  Our retirement portfolio allocation has a stock to bond ratio of 75:25.  The stock component primarily matches total market returns. Specifically, our stock component has grown more than 65% since we retired. Because of this, we put aside 10 years of safer funds (bonds and cash equivalents) to weather any potential market storm. We successfully navigated the immediate sequence of return risk (SORR) hurdle, that pesky danger of facing a poor investment market performance in earliest years of retirement.  We feel both blessed and safe. We sleep well at night. Our financial calculators now indicate that we can spend even more than original predictions. Yet that realization is causing me angst. After all, we spent a lifetime saving, scrimping and sacrificing to reach this point. Indeed, we value the concepts of avoiding excess, of seeking value and purpose in purchases. Our goals were never to impress the neighbors, but rather be content and grateful with what we have.   I want people to know I had a choice about how I spent my accumulated dollars. I chose a life of frugality, questioning everything I purchased. Do I really need that new phone? My current one makes calls, surfs the web, and navigates when I need directions.  Do I need a new car? My dented 11 year old Honda gets me safely to my destinations. Shall I purchase the kayak I’ve been eyeing, or simply rent one for the two times a year I brave the waters?  Perhaps the real measure of a successful retirement is not how much money remains at the end, but whether those resources were used in ways that enriched the lives of others and brought meaning to our own. Financial independence now gives us choices, and a freedom after decades of disciplined saving. It is okay if I leave this world with more than enough funds still in the bank. There are values I learned along the way; those of prudence, generosity, gratitude, and the quiet confidence that comes from living well below one's means. In the end, wealth is simply a tool; character is the true legacy. Perhaps the goal isn't to die with the largest portfolio, but to know that every dollar reflected the values by which we chose to live. Therefore, if I can’t spend it all according to my values, I guess I’m okay with being the one of the richest men in the graveyard.  Jeffrey K. Actor, PhD, was a professor at a major medical school in Houston for more than 25 years, serving as an academic researcher with interests in how immune responses function to fight pathogenic diseases. Jeff’s retirement goals are to write short science fiction stories, volunteer in the community and spend time in his garden. Check out his earlier articles.
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Remembering Jonathan

"Thank you, that is incredibly kind. Writing has become one of the ways I keep Jonathan close. If something of him lives on through my words, that means more to me than I can express."
- Andrew Clements
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Locking it in

"Thanks Howard. I love the term "non-plan plan". Agreed with your take on luck - I will gladly confess that a whole lot of where we are at is due to our incredible good fortune."
- greg_j_tomamichel
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Continuing Care

I EXPECTED TO SPEND early 2017 blogging about my fourth round-the-world trip, which I’d just completed, and planning my next journey. Instead, I spent much of the year on the couch with a heating pad, in between assorted medical appointments, everything from acupuncture to meeting with an infectious disease specialist.

Eventually, I got a definitive diagnosis—I had a form of rheumatoid arthritis—and, in early 2018, an effective medication. But I had been forcibly reminded of something I’d first learned 10 years earlier, when I broke my ankle. My house, as things currently stood, was not suitable for aging in place.

But was aging in place a good idea? During 2017, I learned just how debilitating persistent pain could be. I was 70, single (by choice), childless (by choice) and with no close relatives nearer than England. I already had a chronic, potentially disabling disease. What if I suffered a stroke or heart attack, or fell and broke a hip, or developed dementia? At a moment when I was least able to handle the decision, I’d have to find and fund in-home care, or move to an assisted living or skilled nursing facility.

In addition, I was thoroughly tired of the responsibility and cost of maintaining my house, not to mention preparing all my meals. Those of you thinking that your spouse could handle such things should bear in mind that, at some point, one of you will be a surviving spouse. Even if you have children close by, do you really want to burden them with your care?

I had friends living happily in continuing care retirement communities, and there were a number of CCRCs nearby. A CCRC typically offers a continuum of care from independent living to assisted living to skilled nursing. It was time to do my research. Ruth Alvarez's guide to CCRCs proved invaluable. HumbleDollar readers can also get a good introduction to the four types of CCRC by reading Howard Rohleder’s 2022 article.

For me, the choice of type was straightforward. I wanted a place that promised not to throw me out if I ran out of money and preferably backed that promise with a benevolent fund. I wanted a nonprofit, because a good for-profit might too easily be taken over by a bad one. I wanted on-site assisted living and skilled nursing, which is pretty standard among CCRCs. I wanted a place that accepted Medicare and Medicaid, and had a good rating. I wanted a place that had been open for a while and had sound financials. And I wanted an on-site clinic, exercise facilities and plenty of activities. I started collecting brochures.

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If a CCRC is regulated, it’s regulated by the state government. North Carolina requires CCRCs to give prospective residents a detailed financial and policy disclosure statement, and also post these documents online. That's how I learned that one potential CCRC didn't own its land and buildings, and another appeared to be operating at a loss. The brochures were fairly basic, although they usually included floor plans. Clearly, a visit was the acid test.

My first choice turned out to be an unexpected disappointment. It didn't feel friendly and seemed rather isolated. Another promising prospect, offering plenty of continuing education opportunities in conjunction with one of the local universities, had ceilings so low that the apartments felt claustrophobic. It also seemed to be spending a lot of money on décor, and charged comparatively more for independent living so that it could charge less for assisted living. I preferred to gamble that I’d spend longer in independent living.

I ended up putting down a refundable deposit at a nonprofit CCRC with good-looking financials that had been operating for 30 years—long enough that some residents were second generation. It was walking distance to a library, cafes and restaurants, and was also on a bus line. Everyone I met there was friendly, plus it had the welcoming vibe I’d missed at my first choice. In early 2019, the wait for a one-bedroom apartment was four-plus years, but the next year I was able to switch to a two bedroom in a new building that should be completed this summer.

All the apartments in the new building are at least two bedrooms. Many, if not most, of the prospective residents are couples. The CCRC solution is attractive enough that some couples are moving to a one bedroom, while they wait for a two bedroom to become available. The wait list at my choice is now seven-plus years for a one bedroom, 10-plus for a two bedroom in the original building and 12-plus for a cottage. The CCRC’s wait list population is 65% couples and 35% single individuals. If you need a place with no wait list, probably your only hope—at least in my area—is a CCRC that’s just starting or possibly one that’s undertaking a major expansion. You also need to pass both a physical and financial check when moving in, another reason to plan ahead.

Before my expected move to the CCRC, I moved to an apartment and sold my house. I’ve been pleasantly surprised to find that I don’t miss the house, despite living there for more than 30 years. The move to a two-bedroom apartment meant I could keep my study, which certainly made the change easier. Another bonus: After paying the CCRC entry fee, I’ll qualify for a substantial medical deduction on this year's taxes—which I’ll use to reduce the tax on a Roth conversion.

Kathy Wilhelm, who comments on HumbleDollar as mytimetotravel, is a former software engineer. She took early retirement so she could travel extensively. Born and educated in England, Kathy has lived in North Carolina since 1975.

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Wedding Cost is just the beginning

"Agreed Dick - spending money on family and friends is a wonderful thing."
- greg_j_tomamichel
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Financial Fraud

RECENTLY, A FELLOW—let’s call him Tom—contacted me with a distressing story of financial fraud. I’ll describe what happened then review steps you might take to prevent this same sort of thing. Tom first noticed there might be a problem when he spotted a larger-than-average withdrawal from his checking account. The payee was a 529 college savings plan. But because Tom and his wife—let’s call her Jane—have 529 accounts for their children, the transaction almost went unnoticed. Tom assumed it was a transfer into his own family’s account. But when he mentioned it to Jane, she noted that they had stopped contributing to their 529. That prompted them to investigate further. What they found was that scammers had set up a new 529 account in Tom’s name. They then initiated an electronic funds transfer to move more than $2,000 from Tom and Jane’s checking account into the new 529 set up by the thieves. The intention presumably was to then withdraw the funds from the 529, at which point the theft would become unrecoverable. How were the thieves able to initiate the transfer from Tom and Jane’s bank? This is the part that’s distressing: They took advantage of the widely-used Automated Clearing House (ACH) system. Unfortunately, this system has key weaknesses that make it susceptible to fraud like this. First, it allows funds to be “pulled” out of an account. That’s in contrast to a wire transfer, which can only be “pushed” out by someone with access to the account. So a thief would only need your name, account number and bank routing number to siphon funds from that account. And unfortunately, that information is printed on the front of every check, making it accessible to someone looking to perpetrate this type of scheme. Once the thief had the new 529 account set up in Tom’s name, it was just one simple step to initiate a transfer from Tom and Jane’s bank since the accountholder’s name was the same on both accounts. It was so seamless that if Tom hadn’t been reviewing the transactions in his account, he might never have noticed the theft. According to the FBI, losses due to cybercrime have increased from $1 billion per year to $21 billion over the past 10 years, and ACH theft is a tactic thieves are using more frequently, so it’s worth looking at strategies to help keep your accounts secure. Here are six recommendations.
  1. Secure the login to your bank account by setting up two-factor authentication. And if your bank supports it, use an authenticator app, rather than text messages, for the authentication codes. Ideally, if your bank supports it, switch to a passkey. This is a newer technology that represents a significant advance over traditional passwords. Most importantly, they aren’t vulnerable to phishing attacks. They’re also easier to use, providing one-click logins, and you can store passkeys in a password manager. For those reasons, more websites are beginning to support passkeys. I’d make the switch as soon as your bank makes them available.
  2. Set up alerts through your bank to monitor activity in your checking account. Every bank is different, but most allow you to set up email- or text-based alerts to let you know when transactions above a specified threshold are processed, or when other types of activity occur.
  3. Monitor your transactions. These days, it can be hard to keep an eye on every account. Households often have one or more bank accounts plus credit cards and electronic payment services like Venmo or Zelle. Most people realistically don’t have the time to review every account in real time. That’s why I recommend a service like Monarch or YNAB, which are web-based versions of traditional budgeting tools like Quicken. These services can pull in transactions from all your accounts and present them in a consolidated list, making review much easier. If you kept Monarch or YNAB open in a browser window on your home computer, you could scroll through recent transactions whenever you have a spare minute.
  4. To narrow the circle of people who have access to your account information, try limiting the number of paper checks you write. Especially with Zelle and Venmo as alternatives for making payments, this is getting easier. If you do write paper checks, be sure to use a gel pen and to avoid freestanding mailboxes. Those steps can help prevent a related type of fraud, as Jonathan Clements explained a few years back.
  5. Pay attention to notifications of data breaches. Unfortunately, breach announcements seem to occur so frequently that we’ve become immune to them. It’s worth paying attention, though, to understand which particular pieces of information have been stolen. If it looks like your banking information is included in a breach, it might be worth opening a new account, inconvenient as that would be.
  6. Have your guard up against unsolicited phone calls, emails or text messages. If someone is contacting you about an “account security issue,” or claims to be calling from your bank or from the IRS, be especially wary. Those are common tactics for creating a sense of urgency that can cause people to let their guard down.
What if, like Tom and Jane, you spot a fraudulent transaction in your account? Then it’s important to report it as quickly as possible. Regulation E can limit your liability, but the faster you report a suspicious transaction, the more protection it provides. Liability is limited to just $50 if a theft is reported within two business days, but that exposure increases to $500 if it’s reported later. And after 60 days, there are no guarantees. Thieves, unfortunately, don’t seem to sleep, which means that we need to be more vigilant than in the past, and need to be continuously vigilant. As personal finance author Mike Piper wrote recently, “Cybersecurity should be considered another core area of personal finance—no different from insurance planning, for instance.” Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.
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On Being a “Healthy” Person

"Here is another health tip. One of my sister in laws had a blood clot and they tested her for something called the Leiden factor which makes you more susceptible to blood clots. More than half of her siblings have it."
- DavidHLancaster
Read more »

Free Breakfast

"Linda, one shootout happened when police showed up to arrest a suspect hiding at the hotel, in order to avoid the arrest warrant."
- DAN SMITH
Read more »

The $5,000 Thought Experiment

"Dick, good analogy! Makes me wonder what our fictional households would do if they had a personal money-printing press to inflate away the debt."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

A Wedding Too Far

"Cheryl, nothing says "till debt do us part" like a wedding loan."
- Mark Crothers
Read more »

Inflation Hedge

THE OPEN KITCHEN restaurant has been a fixture in Charlotte, North Carolina for 75 years. The restaurant has an old-time feel, with memorabilia, including menus from years gone by, lining its walls. Those old menus provided David Enna, a financial journalist, with a laboratory for examining the effects of inflation. What did Enna find? The oldest menu on display is from 1963. To state the obvious, today’s prices make those from the 1960s look quaint. Back then, spaghetti and meatballs cost just $1.10. Today, it’s $15.50. But, as Enna points out, that was more than 60 years ago, so increases are to be expected. Over the past 60 years, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has averaged 3.8% per year. That isn’t unreasonable, especially since that average includes the 1970s, when inflation sometimes topped 10%. What’s of more concern, though, is what consumers have experienced more recently. Since 2020, prices across the economy have risen 29%. And though those increases have slowed, the Fed is still struggling to ratchet inflation back to its preferred 2% level. This has given investors renewed interest in strategies to defend against inflation. At first glance, this doesn’t seem like it should be such a difficult problem. The U.S. Treasury offers an investment specifically designed for this purpose: Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). These are bonds that are guaranteed by the federal government to increase in value with inflation. And though I hesitate to use the words “bond” and “exciting” in the same sentence, today many investors are finding the return on TIPS compelling. The 30-year TIPS is now paying close to 3% on top of inflation. If inflation averages 2.5%, for example, over the next 30 years, this bond will end up returning a total of 5.5% per year, and with minimal risk. That sounds good in theory, but do these bonds make sense for your portfolio? It’s worth taking a closer look. The first thing to note is that this seemingly attractive 3% yield only applies to 30-year TIPS. Yields on shorter-term bonds are lower. So unless your investment horizon happens to be exactly 30 years, these bonds may be of limited practical value. Putting aside the yield question, though, a more fundamental challenge with individual TIPS—and individual bonds in general—is that they’re a cumbersome way to build a portfolio. Even if you didn’t mind the process of buying bonds one by one, which can be tedious, there’s the fact that it’s hard for most people to be able to forecast their cash flow needs each year into the future. That’s a problem because choosing maturity dates is the foundation on which bond portfolios are built. Ideally, if you can align the maturity dates of the bonds in your portfolio with your future cash needs, then you can hold bonds to maturity, which is when the issuer would promise to pay you back in full. But that redemption value is guaranteed only at maturity. Buy a 20-year bond and sell it after just 10 years, and there are no guarantees. A bondholder could easily lose money selling an individual bond before maturity. Given these challenges, would a TIPS fund be a better choice? To be sure, bond funds are much simpler to purchase and to manage, but they typically offer even less protection from losses than individual bonds. Most recently, shareholders in TIPS funds were disappointed by how they performed in 2022, when inflation spiked to 9%. Investors expected that to be the year when TIPS rewarded investors, but instead, diversified TIPS funds such as the Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund (ticker: VAIPX) lost nearly 12%. Why did funds like this fare so poorly when inflation was running so high? The problem is that, at the end of the day, TIPS are still bonds. And though they receive a bump in value when inflation rises, a countervailing force is that they lose value when interest rates rise. In 2022, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates aggressively to fight inflation. The negative impact from those rate increases far outweighed the benefit TIPS received from inflation being higher. That puts investors in a difficult position. If TIPS provide inflation protection in theory, but both individual TIPS and TIPS funds carry limitations, what other options are there? The good news is that not all TIPS funds are the same. Some hold only short-term bonds, and they have historically held up much better than more broadly diversified TIPS funds because short-term bonds are more resilient when interest rates rise. Over the past five years, a fund like Vanguard’s Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF (ticker: VTIP) has outperformed a comparable fund (ticker: VGSH) holding standard short-term Treasury bonds every year, as well as this year to-date. It’s important to note, though, that this is relative performance. In 2022, when the entire bond market was under pressure, even short-term TIPS funds like VTIP did still lose money. They just lost less than funds holding conventional bonds. The bottom line: We should never become too wedded to any one strategy. No investment can promise reliable and complete protection against inflation in every market scenario. That said, I do still recommend TIPS and would specifically recommend a short-term fund like VTIP. But I also suggest taking a diversified approach to inflation protection. Here are other steps to consider. If you’re in your 60s and considering when to claim Social Security, that decision offers a powerful lever. Because Social Security benefits increase with inflation and also increase with each year you delay claiming, it’s maybe the most effective way to build additional inflation protection into your plan. What else can you do? Fortunately, you may already own one of the most effective—and underappreciated—inflation-fighting instruments: stocks. While rising prices in recent years have been frustrating for consumers, the result has been that companies have been able to maintain their profit margins. That, in turn, has helped to support their stock prices through this period of inflation. To be sure, some companies have more of an ability to raise prices than others, but overall, stocks are, in my view, a good way to keep pace with inflation. The one thing I wouldn’t do is to buy gold. Despite its reputation, various studies have confirmed that gold really isn’t a reliable inflation hedge. In a paper titled “The Golden Dilemma,” researchers wrote: “Over practical investment horizons, gold is an unreliable inflation hedge,” though they acknowledge that it may be more reliable over longer timeframes—“if the investment horizon is measured in centuries.”   Adam M. Grossman is the founder of Mayport, a fixed-fee wealth management firm. Sign up for Adam's Daily Ideas email, follow him on X @AdamMGrossman and check out his earlier articles.  
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Growing Up In A Big House

"My most sincere thanks to the Clements family for not enabling the posting of pictures🙏"
- DAN SMITH
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Taking It With You

DEEP DOWN INSIDE, I want to be the richest person in the graveyard.  I retired at age 62, confident in our financial plan to survive market fluctuations. We saved over 25% of our income for nearly three decades. Perhaps a bit too much, but we lived well and always had sufficient funds to raise a family, maintain our household, and put our children through postgraduate education. If anything, our retirement spending level is conservative, based on a 40 year time frame for both my wife and I. We have a slightly nuanced financial plan. Suffice to say it is reassuring to know that we are beyond financial security if we simply maintain an inflation adjusted 4% withdrawal rate. Indeed, calculations suggested we could double our pre-retirement budget, with no worries or loss of sleep. Risk be damned! Slowly, we made a conscious decision to spend more. At first it was tough to break old habits. I mean, frugality runs deep in my immediate family. You could use my brother and I as chromosomal templates in a genetic search to discover the frugality gene.  My wife and I now go out for coffee without blinking an eye at paying nearly 6 bucks for a cup of Joe (plus tip). We don’t hesitate to escape the Houston heat by scarfing 5 dollar a scoop ice cream. We no longer plan our restaurant outings according to Happy Hour schedules or local senior discounts.  Even so, three years into retirement, our annual spending remains well below what our financial plan says we can safely afford.  Time to up the ante. We bought season tickets to the symphony and added a dinner date before the performance. We took international vacations twice a year, exploring new countries and cultures. We drove to national parks and treated ourselves to overnights in hotels instead of motels. We gifted our children, with hopes they would bolster their own long-term savings. Gosh, we even made significant charitable gifts to institutions we only previously dreamed of supporting.  Spending is easy. Spending wisely is a challenge. Ironically, the strong stock market since our retirement has made it remarkably difficult to spend our money as initially planned. It sounds counter intuitive, but let me explain.  Our retirement portfolio allocation has a stock to bond ratio of 75:25.  The stock component primarily matches total market returns. Specifically, our stock component has grown more than 65% since we retired. Because of this, we put aside 10 years of safer funds (bonds and cash equivalents) to weather any potential market storm. We successfully navigated the immediate sequence of return risk (SORR) hurdle, that pesky danger of facing a poor investment market performance in earliest years of retirement.  We feel both blessed and safe. We sleep well at night. Our financial calculators now indicate that we can spend even more than original predictions. Yet that realization is causing me angst. After all, we spent a lifetime saving, scrimping and sacrificing to reach this point. Indeed, we value the concepts of avoiding excess, of seeking value and purpose in purchases. Our goals were never to impress the neighbors, but rather be content and grateful with what we have.   I want people to know I had a choice about how I spent my accumulated dollars. I chose a life of frugality, questioning everything I purchased. Do I really need that new phone? My current one makes calls, surfs the web, and navigates when I need directions.  Do I need a new car? My dented 11 year old Honda gets me safely to my destinations. Shall I purchase the kayak I’ve been eyeing, or simply rent one for the two times a year I brave the waters?  Perhaps the real measure of a successful retirement is not how much money remains at the end, but whether those resources were used in ways that enriched the lives of others and brought meaning to our own. Financial independence now gives us choices, and a freedom after decades of disciplined saving. It is okay if I leave this world with more than enough funds still in the bank. There are values I learned along the way; those of prudence, generosity, gratitude, and the quiet confidence that comes from living well below one's means. In the end, wealth is simply a tool; character is the true legacy. Perhaps the goal isn't to die with the largest portfolio, but to know that every dollar reflected the values by which we chose to live. Therefore, if I can’t spend it all according to my values, I guess I’m okay with being the one of the richest men in the graveyard.  Jeffrey K. Actor, PhD, was a professor at a major medical school in Houston for more than 25 years, serving as an academic researcher with interests in how immune responses function to fight pathogenic diseases. Jeff’s retirement goals are to write short science fiction stories, volunteer in the community and spend time in his garden. Check out his earlier articles.
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Remembering Jonathan

"Thank you, that is incredibly kind. Writing has become one of the ways I keep Jonathan close. If something of him lives on through my words, that means more to me than I can express."
- Andrew Clements
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Locking it in

"Thanks Howard. I love the term "non-plan plan". Agreed with your take on luck - I will gladly confess that a whole lot of where we are at is due to our incredible good fortune."
- greg_j_tomamichel
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Manifesto

NO. 45: PAYING down debt may not be our best investment, but it’s almost never a bad idea. It reduces our life’s financial risk—and earns us a rate of return equal to the debt’s interest rate.

Truths

NO. 114: WHO INHERITS most of your assets likely won’t be governed by your will. Instead, property owned jointly with right of survivorship will go to the other owners. Trust assets, retirement accounts and life insurance will go to the named beneficiaries. Ditto for bank and investment accounts that are titled as “payable on death” or “transfer on death.”

think

MORAL LICENSING. When we’ve behaved well and feel virtuous, we often give ourselves permission to behave badly. Just signed up for your employer’s 401(k) plan? Perversely, this can weaken your willpower—and suddenly a shopping spree seems perfectly reasonable. Even thinking about good behavior can lead folks to feel justified in acting badly.

act

AVOID SITUATIONS where you feel poor. Even as the U.S. standard of living has climbed, overall happiness hasn’t. A key reason: We care about our financial standing relative to others. Don’t exacerbate this problem by going to shops, resorts and restaurants you can barely afford, or moving to a town where your neighbors will be far wealthier.

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Manifesto

NO. 45: PAYING down debt may not be our best investment, but it’s almost never a bad idea. It reduces our life’s financial risk—and earns us a rate of return equal to the debt’s interest rate.

Spotlight: Retirement

Money and Me

JONATHAN CLEMENTS’S final book was released this week. Titled Money and Me, it traces the arc of Jonathan’s nearly four-decade career as a personal finance columnist.
Money and Me starts with the story of a man named George Cope, who was a nineteenth century tobacco baron. At the time of his death in 1888, Cope was one of Britain’s richest men. But within just two generations, his fortune was gone.

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Building a Secure Retirement, 10 Years at a Time.

In an earlier article, I described my unexpected decision to use fixed-term immediate annuities (FTIA) to form a floor for my expenses over the next ten years. I thought you might find it of interest if I expand on this, relating to the balance of our income needs and how this might play out over the longer term. To be clear and upfront this strategy is “Prioritizing Income Generation Over Capital Preservation” but not in a reckless way and could change over each 10 year block.

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Mega Backdoor Roth

I WAS RECENTLY asked about strategies that high earners can use to reduce their tax bill.
Most people know the usual options. They contribute to a 401(k), fund a health savings account or make a Roth IRA contribution through the backdoor method. Business owners may have additional opportunities through retirement plans and business structures.
But there’s another strategy worth knowing about: the Mega Backdoor Roth (MBDR).
The MBDR allows some workers to put far more money into Roth accounts than the usual contribution limits permit.

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Trump Accounts

INNOVATION IN THE world of retirement plans is decidedly slow moving. But as of July 4th, investors now have a new savings option known as a Trump account. In short, these are retirement accounts designed specifically for children.
Trump accounts share some similarities with traditional individual retirement accounts (IRAs), but there are also key differences. If you have children, grandchildren, nieces or nephews, this new option may be worth exploring.
Who is eligible for a Trump account?

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Roth Hidden Benefits

WHEN MOST PEOPLE think of Roth IRAs or Roth 401(k)s, they just think “tax-free withdrawals.” But that’s only part of the story.
Roth accounts can protect you from financial traps that catch many retirees off guard. Here are five key advantages to keep in mind:
 
1. Tax Rate Protection
One thing we can’t control is future tax rates.
Did you know that in the 1980s, the highest federal tax rate was 50%?

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New 2025 Tax Deductions

THE IRS JUST released a new form called Schedule 1-A, which includes all the new tax bill deductions.
I wanted to quickly go through some of it, so that you are more aware of the new potential savings opportunities.
I’ve previously discussed some portions of the bill, but this is the first time we have a peek of the new lines.
All of these deductions are in addition to the standard deduction or itemized deduction.

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Spotlight: Zaccardi

Summer Lull

REMEMBER 2020’S BIG market swings? Financial markets have been more boring of late. But are things too quiet? The VIX is the most  commonly cited indicator of market volatility. Turn on CNBC or flip through The Wall Street Journal and you’ll likely learn the latest reading for the “fear gauge.” Last Friday's close was among the lowest of the year, with the VIX at a little more than 15, versus an historical average closer to 20. Things have indeed been calm. A VIX in the low to mid-teens suggests market participants believe stocks won’t be too volatile in the near term. For perspective, it spiked above 80 during 2008’s financial crisis and 2020’s COVID-19 crash. This time of year can be feast or famine for stock market volatility. Trading volume is typically lower than usual, with many investors away on vacation—or, at least, that’s the default explanation. August is also a time that can precede significant volatility. September and October are infamous for featuring bouts of wild market movements. Don’t feel the need to check the VIX each day. Here’s why. Do check that your portfolio aligns with your ability, willingness and need to take risk. If you haven’t done so lately, consider rebalancing back to your target asset allocation. Whenever volatility returns, you don’t want to discover that your holdings were riskier than you thought. Nobody knows if a prolonged market correction is imminent, but there might be some reversion to the mean before long. Use these calmer days to ensure your stock-bond mix is where it ought to be.
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Rattled by Rates

IT’S BEEN A STUNNING quarter for the bond market. According to Bloomberg, short-term interest rates have seen their biggest jump since 1984, as measured by the yield on two-year Treasury notes, which now stands at around 2.3%. The rise this time around seems especially sharp, considering how low yields were at the start of 2022. Back in the early 1980s, the two-year Treasury yielded north of 10%, versus barely above 0% at times last year. We could see yet more bond market volatility, with key data points such as final fourth-quarter gross domestic product and March’s employment report hitting later in the week. One consequence of rising yields has been higher mortgage rates. Consumers can get updates on conventional loans each afternoon. Friday’s update was particularly jarring: The 30-year conventional fixed-rate mortgage nearly touched 5% and is now at its highest level since late 2018. Freddie Mac also publishes a weekly report on Thursdays. Should mortgage rates climb much above 5%, that would mark the highest borrowing costs in more than a decade. For potential home buyers, soaring property prices are adding to their misery. We’ll get the latest reading on the S&P Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index on Tuesday morning. The consensus estimate says home values rose 18.3% over the 12 months through January. Consumers aren’t exactly taking the rising interest-rate environment, triggered by high inflation, in stride. February’s University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading of 59.4 was the bleakest since August 2011’s 55.8. That’s when the U.S. debt downgrade occurred and the European sovereign debt crisis was ongoing. Despite low unemployment and somewhat resilient stock prices, rising consumer prices and unstable geopolitical conditions continue to weigh on consumers. The first quarter has been no cakewalk for stock investors, either. The good news is that the volatility index…
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Coming Together

I GOT CAUGHT UP IN some weird investment fads during the recent era of 0% interest rates. With cash investments and bonds yielding almost nothing, I instead sought to pad my investment returns by opening new brokerage accounts to snag promotion cash, and by dabbling in digital currencies and newfangled alternative investments. Result? I ended up with far too many financial accounts—and it became a burden to keep track of everything. Just a year ago, I had investments in obscure real estate deals, individual pieces of art, bottles of wine, stablecoins and other relics of the speculative pandemic-era mania. What's more, after leaving both my fulltime job and my teaching position at the University of North Florida, there were old retirement accounts and a health savings account (HSA) that I was lazy about rolling over. I craved a less complicated financial life. Simplicity is bliss, as many HumbleDollar writers have noted, and I’m now firmly in that camp. Here are six key benefits I’m enjoying now that almost all of my investments are in one safe place: 1. Getting my weekends back. As my number of accounts grew, keeping tabs on everything became cumbersome. A proud bean counter, I’ve routinely updated my personal finance spreadsheet since I was a freshman at Florida State University in 2007. But what used to take 10 minutes on a Saturday morning turned into something that felt like a chore. By the middle of 2022, logging into all those unique accounts to tally my net worth took north of 45 minutes. I sought to slim down that process starting at the end of last year. 2. Less wasted mental energy. Helping my future self by streamlining my finances now became mission critical. With all those taxable investment accounts, completing my 1040 tax return became brutal,…
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Raw Deal

THE MID-2000s WERE my introduction to the investment world—and even today my thinking is heavily influenced by what was happening then. Take a moment to recall the 2004-07 period. Stock prices were marching higher, foreign shares were crushing U.S. stocks, small caps were doing all right and you could get a decent interest rate on your savings account. Good times. Another feature of the mid-2000s market: a big bull run in commodities. Back then, I never dabbled in commodities directly, but I admit to having a big emerging markets weight in my (little) portfolio. Emerging markets funds can be a commodity play by proxy, because developing countries are not only big producers of the world’s raw materials, but also big users of those materials when times are good. While my first investment was a target-date fund within a Roth IRA when I turned age 18, as I got older and savvier—at least in my 20-year-old mind—I tried my hand at some regional emerging markets exchange-traded funds. Those did well for a time, thanks to the boom in commodity prices. Oil surged from below $30 per barrel in 2001 to above $140 at the mid-2008 peak. Gold shone for a decade starting in 2001. Copper was on fire, as China demanded more and more. Heck, even the cost to transport dry goods was soaring—check out the Baltic Dry Index. In fact, at that time, if you looked back at market history, commodities showed every sign of being a great long-term investment and a superb diversifier for stocks. Then the party ended. First, the 2008 financial crisis hit. Then we had the 2014-2015 commodity collapse, resulting in a global economic slowdown. Perhaps the carnage culminated earlier this year, when oil prices briefly hit negative $40 per barrel. What happened to this once…
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It’s Always Different

FINANCE NERD THAT I am, I gleefully dug into the 2021 Capital Markets Fact Book that was just published by SIFMA. I was particularly humbled by a chart showing the breakdown of the global stock and bond markets. Why humbled? The data show just how great we U.S. investors have had it in the past decade. The Fact Book first displays the $58 trillion global stock market’s composition in 2010. The U.S. was 30%, emerging markets 25% and the remainder was a mix of developed foreign markets. Jump to 2020, and we see significant shifts. The global stock market’s total value has ballooned to $105.8 trillion. Sounds huge, but that’s just a 6.2% annual rate of increase. The U.S. share surged to 38% of the global stock market, while emerging markets shrank to 21%. It’s a different story for the bond market. In 2010, this $82.3 trillion arena was 37% U.S., 28% European Union countries, 18% Japan and 5% emerging markets. In 2020, the U.S. was pretty much unchanged at 38%, while Europe slumped to 20% and Japan’s share dropped to just 12% of the $123.5 trillion market. What’s striking is that emerging markets, despite relatively poor stock market returns, increased their bond portion to 17% of the global market. Strong economic growth in emerging markets meant those nations had to take on more debt to finance capital spending. What about the decade to come? One thing is nearly certain: It’ll look a lot different from the one we just witnessed. It always does.
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Dabbling in Digital

IF YOU’RE LIKE ME, you want to stick with your long-term investment plan, while remaining open to new ideas. It’s a balancing act—to avoid missing a new, long-lasting trend, while not getting caught up in a bubble. That’s how I feel about cryptocurrencies. Their market cap has swelled to $2.6 trillion. But what does that mean? Contrast that to the value of the global stock and bond markets: Each is about $125 trillion. To me, it makes sense to have some exposure to bitcoin, ethereum and the like. A portfolio weighting in proportion to the global investable market of cryptocurrencies amounts to about 1% of assets. That’s probably not a huge dollar amount for most investors. But I’d argue that anything much above 1% risks becoming an outsized, speculative bet. At the same time, having zero exposure could be seen as being underweight. Buying crypto directly is expensive. Coinbase has transaction fees of roughly 1.5%. The new ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (symbol: BITO) sports a lofty 0.95% expense ratio, along with other risks. But you don’t have to open a Coinbase account to get digital exposure, nor must you purchase a bitcoin exchange-traded fund. There’s another option. I was intrigued by a list of companies with digital asset exposure put together by Bank of America Global Research. The list of 43 stocks includes many companies we know well. All of them either own cryptocurrencies outright, or have invested in digital assets and the blockchain. As I see it, owning a basket of crypto-exposed stocks could be a cheaper option than buying cryptocurrencies directly. The downside: It adds more complexity to my portfolio—and it’s yet another investment group I’d have to track.
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